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Exchange predictions & odds

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Kraken IPO by ___ ?

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

77%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

45

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

2%

1450.00–1499.99

$5.0K Vol.

$289 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

91%

NASDAQ

$94.2K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

66%

<1600.00

$17.7K Vol.

$905 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?

2%

↓ 1.5M

$214K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by May 31?

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by May 31?

57%

↑ 1.8M

$0 Vol.

$660 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?

100%

Up

$468K Vol.

$466K today

$11.8K Liq.

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?

1%

Up

$225K Vol.

$225K today

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 minutes

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?

100%

Up

$205K Vol.

$205K today

$15.7K Liq.

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?

100%

Up

$138K Vol.

$137K today

$51.7K Liq.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

23%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$71.5K Liq.

35

Ends in 8 months

Google (GOOGL) closes week of Apr 27 at ___?

Google (GOOGL) closes week of Apr 27 at ___?

96%

>$360

$58.9K Vol.

$50.3K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

94%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$109K Liq.

38

Ends in 8 months

IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

98%

Cerebras

$6M Vol.

$73.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

89%

No meeting by June 30

$5M Vol.

$180K Liq.

24

Ends in 2 months

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

85%

25 bps Increase

$97.7K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 30?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 30?

98%

Up

$22.2K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 10 minutes

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 30?

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 30?

100%

Up

$20.5K Vol.

$48.4K Liq.

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 27 above___?

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 27 above___?

100%

$330

$41.3K Vol.

$50.3K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on April 30?

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on April 30?

<1%

$205

$15.0K Vol.

$29.6K Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Exchange.

Polymarket currently hosts 1003 active markets for Exchange that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kraken IPO by ___ ?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $18.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “IPOs before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “IPOs before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Once Upon a Farm. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Exchange predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.