Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate trades near 1,430 as of mid-June 2026 under the BCRA’s inflation-adjusted crawling band, which widens monthly based on lagged CPI prints. Strong agricultural and energy exports enabled the central bank to surpass its full-year $10 billion reserve-purchase target in just six months, easing immediate pressure for faster depreciation while supporting IMF program compliance. Annual inflation has fallen to around 33 percent with expectations near 37 percent, yet monthly readings remain elevated, and substantial external debt service looms through year-end. These dynamics create a tight contest between outcomes below 1,600 and the 1,600–1,699 bracket, with trader positioning hinging on whether reserve accumulation and disinflation permit slower crawl or whether fiscal and external financing needs accelerate the band’s upward drift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$18,607 Vol.
$18,607 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1600.00
43%
1600.00–1699.99
47%
1700.00–1799.99
7%
1800.00–1899.99
4%
1900.00–1999.99
2%
2000.00+
7%
$18,607 Vol.
$18,607 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<1600.00
$2,008 Vol.
43%
1600.00–1699.99
$1,468 Vol.
47%
1700.00–1799.99
$1,222 Vol.
7%
1800.00–1899.99
$1,114 Vol.
4%
1900.00–1999.99
$11,360 Vol.
2%
2000.00+
$1,435 Vol.
7%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate trades near 1,430 as of mid-June 2026 under the BCRA’s inflation-adjusted crawling band, which widens monthly based on lagged CPI prints. Strong agricultural and energy exports enabled the central bank to surpass its full-year $10 billion reserve-purchase target in just six months, easing immediate pressure for faster depreciation while supporting IMF program compliance. Annual inflation has fallen to around 33 percent with expectations near 37 percent, yet monthly readings remain elevated, and substantial external debt service looms through year-end. These dynamics create a tight contest between outcomes below 1,600 and the 1,600–1,699 bracket, with trader positioning hinging on whether reserve accumulation and disinflation permit slower crawl or whether fiscal and external financing needs accelerate the band’s upward drift.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$18,607End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate trades near 1,430 as of mid-June 2026 under the BCRA’s inflation-adjusted crawling band, which widens monthly based on lagged CPI prints. Strong agricultural and energy exports enabled the central bank to surpass its full-year $10 billion reserve-purchase target in just six months, easing immediate pressure for faster depreciation while supporting IMF program compliance. Annual inflation has fallen to around 33 percent with expectations near 37 percent, yet monthly readings remain elevated, and substantial external debt service looms through year-end. These dynamics create a tight contest between outcomes below 1,600 and the 1,600–1,699 bracket, with trader positioning hinging on whether reserve accumulation and disinflation permit slower crawl or whether fiscal and external financing needs accelerate the band’s upward drift.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$18,607End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate trades near 1,430 as of mid-June 2026 under the BCRA’s inflation-adjusted crawling band, which widens monthly based on lagged CPI prints. Strong agricultural and energy exports enabled the central bank to surpass its full-year $10 billion reserve-purchase target in just six months, easing immediate pressure for faster depreciation while supporting IMF program compliance. Annual inflation has fallen to around 33 percent with expectations near 37 percent, yet monthly readings remain elevated, and substantial external debt service looms through year-end. These dynamics create a tight contest between outcomes below 1,600 and the 1,600–1,699 bracket, with trader positioning hinging on whether reserve accumulation and disinflation permit slower crawl or whether fiscal and external financing needs accelerate the band’s upward drift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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