The 2026 FIFA World Cup features an expanded 48-team field across 12 groups, with the top two finishers from each group plus the eight strongest third-place teams advancing to the 32-team knockout stage. The group stage opens June 11 with matches including Mexico versus South Africa and runs through June 27, giving every side three fixtures to build points, goal difference, and head-to-head results under standard FIFA tiebreakers. Pre-tournament form, squad depth, travel across host nations, and historical performance in similar expanded formats shape expectations, while the draw completed in December 2025 sets varied group strengths that will determine early momentum heading into the Round of 32.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWorld Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
$399,550 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
Spain
98%
England
97%
France
97%
Brazil
97%
Portugal
96%
Germany
96%
Belgium
96%
Argentina
95%
Switzerland
93%
Mexico
91%
Colombia
88%
Ecuador
87%
Uruguay
86%
Morocco
86%
Netherlands
86%
Norway
86%
Canada
85%
USA
84%
Croatia
81%
Austria
80%
Turkiye
79%
Japan
79%
Ivory Coast
76%
Egypt
73%
Scotland
72%
Czechia
71%
Senegal
70%
South Korea
69%
Algeria
69%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Paraguay
65%
Sweden
64%
Iran
62%
Ghana
52%
Australia
49%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
39%
Saudi Arabia
36%
Uzbekistan
36%
New Zealand
32%
Cape Verde
32%
Panama
29%
Qatar
26%
Jordan
19%
Iraq
14%
Haiti
12%
Curacao
12%
$399,550 Vol.
Spain
$19,579 Vol.
98%
England
$8,338 Vol.
97%
France
$34,716 Vol.
97%
Brazil
$9,652 Vol.
97%
Portugal
$9,989 Vol.
96%
Germany
$8,535 Vol.
96%
Belgium
$5,851 Vol.
96%
Argentina
$5,207 Vol.
95%
Switzerland
$5,941 Vol.
93%
Mexico
$5,305 Vol.
91%
Colombia
$6,982 Vol.
88%
Ecuador
$1,457 Vol.
87%
Uruguay
$1,392 Vol.
86%
Morocco
$2,550 Vol.
86%
Netherlands
$5,304 Vol.
86%
Norway
$45,836 Vol.
86%
Canada
$1,560 Vol.
85%
USA
$24,889 Vol.
84%
Croatia
$2,797 Vol.
81%
Austria
$15,991 Vol.
80%
Turkiye
$9,212 Vol.
79%
Japan
$2,811 Vol.
79%
Ivory Coast
$2,187 Vol.
76%
Egypt
$893 Vol.
73%
Scotland
$8,379 Vol.
72%
Czechia
$1,139 Vol.
71%
Senegal
$7,206 Vol.
70%
South Korea
$841 Vol.
69%
Algeria
$1,551 Vol.
69%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
$2,940 Vol.
66%
Paraguay
$478 Vol.
65%
Sweden
$3,529 Vol.
64%
Iran
$3,086 Vol.
62%
Ghana
$3,429 Vol.
52%
Australia
$5,528 Vol.
49%
DR Congo
$5,785 Vol.
44%
South Africa
$3,743 Vol.
39%
Tunisia
$3,045 Vol.
39%
Saudi Arabia
$23,489 Vol.
36%
Uzbekistan
$2,041 Vol.
36%
New Zealand
$9,459 Vol.
32%
Cape Verde
$3,596 Vol.
32%
Panama
$3,915 Vol.
29%
Qatar
$18,869 Vol.
26%
Jordan
$20,693 Vol.
19%
Iraq
$19,840 Vol.
14%
Haiti
$7,609 Vol.
12%
Curacao
$2,714 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup features an expanded 48-team field across 12 groups, with the top two finishers from each group plus the eight strongest third-place teams advancing to the 32-team knockout stage. The group stage opens June 11 with matches including Mexico versus South Africa and runs through June 27, giving every side three fixtures to build points, goal difference, and head-to-head results under standard FIFA tiebreakers. Pre-tournament form, squad depth, travel across host nations, and historical performance in similar expanded formats shape expectations, while the draw completed in December 2025 sets varied group strengths that will determine early momentum heading into the Round of 32.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Volume
$399,550End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup features an expanded 48-team field across 12 groups, with the top two finishers from each group plus the eight strongest third-place teams advancing to the 32-team knockout stage. The group stage opens June 11 with matches including Mexico versus South Africa and runs through June 27, giving every side three fixtures to build points, goal difference, and head-to-head results under standard FIFA tiebreakers. Pre-tournament form, squad depth, travel across host nations, and historical performance in similar expanded formats shape expectations, while the draw completed in December 2025 sets varied group strengths that will determine early momentum heading into the Round of 32.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$399,550End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 FIFA World Cup features an expanded 48-team field across 12 groups, with the top two finishers from each group plus the eight strongest third-place teams advancing to the 32-team knockout stage. The group stage opens June 11 with matches including Mexico versus South Africa and runs through June 27, giving every side three fixtures to build points, goal difference, and head-to-head results under standard FIFA tiebreakers. Pre-tournament form, squad depth, travel across host nations, and historical performance in similar expanded formats shape expectations, while the draw completed in December 2025 sets varied group strengths that will determine early momentum heading into the Round of 32.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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