Qatar leads the market for finishing last in 2026 World Cup Group B at 63% implied probability, reflecting its lower FIFA ranking and limited recent international success compared with the other sides. Bosnia and Herzegovina follows at 52%, consistent with its return to the tournament after a long absence and mid-tier European standing. Canada at 44.5% benefits from co-host status and home venues yet faces questions over squad depth against stronger opposition. Switzerland sits lowest at 26%, as the group's highest-ranked team with proven consistency in European competitions. Pre-tournament previews highlight these gaps in form, experience, and roster quality ahead of the June 12 opener, with the four-team format leaving room for shifts based on opening results and any late roster updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedQatar 60%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 49%
Canada 43%
Switzerland 26%
NEW
NEW
Jul 20, 2026
Qatar
60%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
49%
Canada
43%
Switzerland
26%
Qatar 60%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 49%
Canada 43%
Switzerland 26%
NEW
NEW
Jul 20, 2026
Qatar
$0 Vol.
60%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
$0 Vol.
49%
Canada
$0 Vol.
43%
Switzerland
$17 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in USA.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Qatar leads the market for finishing last in 2026 World Cup Group B at 63% implied probability, reflecting its lower FIFA ranking and limited recent international success compared with the other sides. Bosnia and Herzegovina follows at 52%, consistent with its return to the tournament after a long absence and mid-tier European standing. Canada at 44.5% benefits from co-host status and home venues yet faces questions over squad depth against stronger opposition. Switzerland sits lowest at 26%, as the group's highest-ranked team with proven consistency in European competitions. Pre-tournament previews highlight these gaps in form, experience, and roster quality ahead of the June 12 opener, with the four-team format leaving room for shifts based on opening results and any late roster updates.
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 4, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Volume
$17End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in USA.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Qatar leads the market for finishing last in 2026 World Cup Group B at 63% implied probability, reflecting its lower FIFA ranking and limited recent international success compared with the other sides. Bosnia and Herzegovina follows at 52%, consistent with its return to the tournament after a long absence and mid-tier European standing. Canada at 44.5% benefits from co-host status and home venues yet faces questions over squad depth against stronger opposition. Switzerland sits lowest at 26%, as the group's highest-ranked team with proven consistency in European competitions. Pre-tournament previews highlight these gaps in form, experience, and roster quality ahead of the June 12 opener, with the four-team format leaving room for shifts based on opening results and any late roster updates.
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes last place of Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Qatar leads the market for finishing last in 2026 World Cup Group B at 63% implied probability, reflecting its lower FIFA ranking and limited recent international success compared with the other sides. Bosnia and Herzegovina follows at 52%, consistent with its return to the tournament after a long absence and mid-tier European standing. Canada at 44.5% benefits from co-host status and home venues yet faces questions over squad depth against stronger opposition. Switzerland sits lowest at 26%, as the group's highest-ranked team with proven consistency in European competitions. Pre-tournament previews highlight these gaps in form, experience, and roster quality ahead of the June 12 opener, with the four-team format leaving room for shifts based on opening results and any late roster updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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