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Sports·Soccer

World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe

icon for World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe
Sports·Soccer

World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe

Yamal

28% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Yamal

28% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yamal” if Lamine Yamal scores more goals than Kylian Mbappe through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Mbappe”. In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.Kylian Mbappé holds a clear edge in the World Cup goals head-to-head over Lamine Yamal at 72.5% implied probability, driven by the French captain’s proven major-tournament pedigree and stronger recent goal output. Mbappé posted 25 La Liga goals in 2025-26 before a late-April hamstring injury from which he has recovered in time for the tournament, while Yamal’s 16 goals came alongside 17 assists before his own season-ending hamstring issue in late April. Spain’s 18-year-old winger remains a high-upside creator but faces questions over match sharpness and starting minutes after limited preparation, whereas Mbappé serves as France’s primary striker with greater volume and consistency in knockout settings. Trader consensus reflects these experience and role differentials heading into the co-hosted 2026 edition.

This market will resolve to “Yamal” if Lamine Yamal scores more goals than Kylian Mbappe through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Mbappe”.

In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50.

If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.
Volume
$6
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 12:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yamal” if Lamine Yamal scores more goals than Kylian Mbappe through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Mbappe”. In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.
This market will resolve to “Yamal” if Lamine Yamal scores more goals than Kylian Mbappe through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Mbappe”. In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.Kylian Mbappé holds a clear edge in the World Cup goals head-to-head over Lamine Yamal at 72.5% implied probability, driven by the French captain’s proven major-tournament pedigree and stronger recent goal output. Mbappé posted 25 La Liga goals in 2025-26 before a late-April hamstring injury from which he has recovered in time for the tournament, while Yamal’s 16 goals came alongside 17 assists before his own season-ending hamstring issue in late April. Spain’s 18-year-old winger remains a high-upside creator but faces questions over match sharpness and starting minutes after limited preparation, whereas Mbappé serves as France’s primary striker with greater volume and consistency in knockout settings. Trader consensus reflects these experience and role differentials heading into the co-hosted 2026 edition.

This market will resolve to “Yamal” if Lamine Yamal scores more goals than Kylian Mbappe through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Mbappe”.

In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50.

If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.
Volume
$6
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 12:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yamal” if Lamine Yamal scores more goals than Kylian Mbappe through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Mbappe”. In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe" is "World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.