Scotland's commanding 67.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from a substantial quality gap over Haiti, evidenced by FIFA rankings (43rd vs. 83rd) and superior squad depth with Premier League stars like Andy Robertson and John McGinn facing Haiti's less experienced roster from lower divisions. Haiti's recent March friendlies—a 1-1 draw vs. Iceland and 0-1 loss to Tunisia—highlight defensive vulnerabilities, exacerbated by defender Carlens Arcus's injury absence, while Scotland's inconsistent but higher-caliber form (2 wins in last 5) bolsters confidence. Neutral-site opener at Gillette Stadium in Group C adds cagey draw risk at 18.5%, but Scotland's control expected in this must-win matchup against the tournament's lowest-ranked side.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Scotland's commanding 67.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from a substantial quality gap over Haiti, evidenced by FIFA rankings (43rd vs. 83rd) and superior squad depth with Premier League stars like Andy Robertson and John McGinn facing Haiti's less experienced roster from lower divisions. Haiti's recent March friendlies—a 1-1 draw vs. Iceland and 0-1 loss to Tunisia—highlight defensive vulnerabilities, exacerbated by defender Carlens Arcus's injury absence, while Scotland's inconsistent but higher-caliber form (2 wins in last 5) bolsters confidence. Neutral-site opener at Gillette Stadium in Group C adds cagey draw risk at 18.5%, but Scotland's control expected in this must-win matchup against the tournament's lowest-ranked side.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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