The 2026 FIFA World Cup features an expanded 48-team field divided into 12 groups of four, with the top two sides from each group advancing automatically alongside the eight strongest third-placed teams to the Round of 32 knockout stage. The final draw placed host nations Canada, Mexico, and the United States in favorable positions, while strong European and South American sides occupy several competitive groups. All 48 teams have completed qualification, with recent focus on squad finalization, injury recoveries, and pre-tournament friendlies ahead of the June 11 opening matches across North American venues. Group standings will hinge on head-to-head results, goal difference, and fair-play tiebreakers during the three-match group phase.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWorld Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
$270,459 Vol.
Spain
98%
England
97%
France
97%
Brazil
97%
Portugal
96%
Germany
96%
Belgium
96%
Argentina
94%
Switzerland
93%
Mexico
91%
Netherlands
90%
Colombia
88%
Ecuador
87%
Uruguay
87%
Morocco
86%
Norway
86%
Canada
85%
USA
84%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Croatia
80%
Ivory Coast
79%
Japan
78%
Egypt
73%
Senegal
72%
Scotland
72%
Czechia
71%
South Korea
70%
Algeria
69%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Paraguay
65%
Sweden
64%
Iran
62%
Ghana
52%
Australia
49%
DR Congo
44%
Tunisia
39%
South Africa
38%
Uzbekistan
36%
Saudi Arabia
35%
New Zealand
33%
Cape Verde
31%
Panama
29%
Qatar
22%
Jordan
18%
Iraq
14%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
11%
$270,459 Vol.
Spain
98%
England
97%
France
97%
Brazil
97%
Portugal
96%
Germany
96%
Belgium
96%
Argentina
94%
Switzerland
93%
Mexico
91%
Netherlands
90%
Colombia
88%
Ecuador
87%
Uruguay
87%
Morocco
86%
Norway
86%
Canada
85%
USA
84%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Croatia
80%
Ivory Coast
79%
Japan
78%
Egypt
73%
Senegal
72%
Scotland
72%
Czechia
71%
South Korea
70%
Algeria
69%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Paraguay
65%
Sweden
64%
Iran
62%
Ghana
52%
Australia
49%
DR Congo
44%
Tunisia
39%
South Africa
38%
Uzbekistan
36%
Saudi Arabia
35%
New Zealand
33%
Cape Verde
31%
Panama
29%
Qatar
22%
Jordan
18%
Iraq
14%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
11%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 FIFA World Cup features an expanded 48-team field divided into 12 groups of four, with the top two sides from each group advancing automatically alongside the eight strongest third-placed teams to the Round of 32 knockout stage. The final draw placed host nations Canada, Mexico, and the United States in favorable positions, while strong European and South American sides occupy several competitive groups. All 48 teams have completed qualification, with recent focus on squad finalization, injury recoveries, and pre-tournament friendlies ahead of the June 11 opening matches across North American venues. Group standings will hinge on head-to-head results, goal difference, and fair-play tiebreakers during the three-match group phase.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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