The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format features 48 nations divided into 12 groups of four, with the top two finishers from each group advancing automatically alongside the eight strongest third-placed sides to the Round of 32. Recent group-stage draws have created varied competitive balances, where traditional powers like Spain and France benefit from favorable matchups while underdogs rely on goal differential and head-to-head results as tiebreakers. Pre-tournament form, squad depth, and any confirmed injury updates from national team camps will shape early group outcomes, as will the three-match schedule that rewards consistent results over the opening week of fixtures beginning June 11.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWorld Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
$270,501 Vol.
Spain
98%
England
97%
France
97%
Brazil
97%
Portugal
96%
Germany
96%
Belgium
96%
Argentina
94%
Switzerland
93%
Mexico
91%
Netherlands
90%
Colombia
88%
Ecuador
87%
Uruguay
87%
Norway
86%
Morocco
86%
Canada
85%
USA
84%
Austria
81%
Croatia
80%
Turkiye
79%
Ivory Coast
79%
Japan
78%
Egypt
73%
Scotland
72%
Senegal
71%
Czechia
71%
South Korea
69%
Algeria
69%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Paraguay
65%
Sweden
64%
Iran
61%
Ghana
52%
Australia
49%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
39%
Saudi Arabia
35%
Uzbekistan
35%
New Zealand
33%
Cape Verde
31%
Panama
29%
Qatar
22%
Jordan
18%
Iraq
14%
Haiti
12%
Curacao
11%
$270,501 Vol.
Spain
98%
England
97%
France
97%
Brazil
97%
Portugal
96%
Germany
96%
Belgium
96%
Argentina
94%
Switzerland
93%
Mexico
91%
Netherlands
90%
Colombia
88%
Ecuador
87%
Uruguay
87%
Norway
86%
Morocco
86%
Canada
85%
USA
84%
Austria
81%
Croatia
80%
Turkiye
79%
Ivory Coast
79%
Japan
78%
Egypt
73%
Scotland
72%
Senegal
71%
Czechia
71%
South Korea
69%
Algeria
69%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Paraguay
65%
Sweden
64%
Iran
61%
Ghana
52%
Australia
49%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
39%
Saudi Arabia
35%
Uzbekistan
35%
New Zealand
33%
Cape Verde
31%
Panama
29%
Qatar
22%
Jordan
18%
Iraq
14%
Haiti
12%
Curacao
11%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format features 48 nations divided into 12 groups of four, with the top two finishers from each group advancing automatically alongside the eight strongest third-placed sides to the Round of 32. Recent group-stage draws have created varied competitive balances, where traditional powers like Spain and France benefit from favorable matchups while underdogs rely on goal differential and head-to-head results as tiebreakers. Pre-tournament form, squad depth, and any confirmed injury updates from national team camps will shape early group outcomes, as will the three-match schedule that rewards consistent results over the opening week of fixtures beginning June 11.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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