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Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

icon for World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Sports·FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

$270,508 Vol.

Jun 28, 2026
Polymarket

$270,508 Vol.

Polymarket

Spain

$19,579 Vol.

98%

England

$8,338 Vol.

97%

France

$9,756 Vol.

97%

Brazil

$9,652 Vol.

97%

Portugal

$9,989 Vol.

96%

Germany

$8,535 Vol.

96%

Belgium

$5,851 Vol.

96%

Argentina

$5,092 Vol.

94%

Switzerland

$5,879 Vol.

93%

Mexico

$5,242 Vol.

91%

Netherlands

$5,304 Vol.

89%

Colombia

$6,982 Vol.

88%

Ecuador

$1,457 Vol.

87%

Uruguay

$1,347 Vol.

87%

Norway

$12,889 Vol.

86%

Morocco

$2,550 Vol.

85%

Canada

$1,560 Vol.

85%

USA

$17,494 Vol.

84%

Austria

$15,991 Vol.

81%

Croatia

$2,797 Vol.

81%

Turkiye

$9,212 Vol.

79%

Ivory Coast

$2,182 Vol.

79%

Japan

$2,803 Vol.

79%

Egypt

$893 Vol.

73%

Scotland

$8,379 Vol.

72%

Czechia

$1,139 Vol.

71%

Senegal

$3,457 Vol.

71%

South Korea

$841 Vol.

69%

Algeria

$1,551 Vol.

69%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$2,940 Vol.

66%

Paraguay

$478 Vol.

65%

Sweden

$3,129 Vol.

64%

Iran

$3,086 Vol.

62%

Ghana

$3,429 Vol.

52%

Australia

$5,528 Vol.

49%

DR Congo

$5,785 Vol.

44%

South Africa

$3,743 Vol.

39%

Tunisia

$2,871 Vol.

39%

Saudi Arabia

$13,197 Vol.

35%

Uzbekistan

$2,041 Vol.

35%

New Zealand

$9,313 Vol.

33%

Cape Verde

$3,596 Vol.

31%

Panama

$3,915 Vol.

29%

Qatar

$3,296 Vol.

22%

Jordan

$4,319 Vol.

18%

Iraq

$3,646 Vol.

14%

Haiti

$7,609 Vol.

12%

Curacao

$2,714 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup features an expanded 48-team field divided into 12 groups of four, with the top two finishers from each group plus the eight strongest third-place sides advancing to the 32-team knockout stage. The draw completed in December 2025 set the matchups, placing co-hosts Mexico, Canada, and the United States in relatively favorable groups while creating several competitive sections with multiple contenders. Powerhouse sides such as Spain, France, England, Argentina, Brazil, and Portugal enter with strong recent form and depth, positioning them as clear favorites to progress. No matches have occurred yet, so current trader sentiment reflects group compositions, historical qualification rates, and pre-tournament preparations ahead of the June 11 opener.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$270,508
End Date
Jun 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup features an expanded 48-team field divided into 12 groups of four, with the top two finishers from each group plus the eight strongest third-place sides advancing to the 32-team knockout stage. The draw completed in December 2025 set the matchups, placing co-hosts Mexico, Canada, and the United States in relatively favorable groups while creating several competitive sections with multiple contenders. Powerhouse sides such as Spain, France, England, Argentina, Brazil, and Portugal enter with strong recent form and depth, positioning them as clear favorites to progress. No matches have occurred yet, so current trader sentiment reflects group compositions, historical qualification rates, and pre-tournament preparations ahead of the June 11 opener.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$270,508
End Date
Jun 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spain" at 98%, followed by "England" at 97%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" has generated $270.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" is "Spain" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "England" at 97%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.