Group H of the 2026 World Cup pits Spain against Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay, with matches beginning June 15. Trader consensus shows Cape Verde narrowly favored for last place at 52.5% implied probability, closely followed by other outcomes around 50% and Saudi Arabia at 39%, reflecting similar FIFA rankings near 60-70 and limited recent form for the lower-seeded sides. Uruguay's higher ranking and historical pedigree create separation at just 11%, while Spain sits at 3.6% due to superior squad depth and European championship pedigree. The tight clustering among frontrunners underscores the group-stage unpredictability, where any single result or defensive lapse can shift final standings before the June 26 conclusion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWorld Cup: Group H Last Place
Cape Verde 52%
Saudi Arabia 39%
Uruguay 11%
Spain 3.7%
Cape Verde
52%
Saudi Arabia
39%
Uruguay
11%
Spain
4%
Cape Verde 52%
Saudi Arabia 39%
Uruguay 11%
Spain 3.7%
Cape Verde
52%
Saudi Arabia
39%
Uruguay
11%
Spain
4%
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Group H of the 2026 World Cup pits Spain against Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay, with matches beginning June 15. Trader consensus shows Cape Verde narrowly favored for last place at 52.5% implied probability, closely followed by other outcomes around 50% and Saudi Arabia at 39%, reflecting similar FIFA rankings near 60-70 and limited recent form for the lower-seeded sides. Uruguay's higher ranking and historical pedigree create separation at just 11%, while Spain sits at 3.6% due to superior squad depth and European championship pedigree. The tight clustering among frontrunners underscores the group-stage unpredictability, where any single result or defensive lapse can shift final standings before the June 26 conclusion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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