New Zealand enters Group G as the lowest-ranked side with the least recent high-level experience against the other three nations, driving trader consensus toward the All Whites as the most probable last-place finisher. Egypt and Iran, while stronger on paper, carry their own uncertainties around squad depth, recent form, and the physical demands of a compressed schedule, keeping their implied probabilities clustered near 50 percent alongside “Other.” Belgium’s superior roster depth and European pedigree make a bottom finish highly unlikely. The tight spread among the leading outcomes reflects the absence of matches played so far and the possibility that any single result or injury could reorder the group standings before the final matchday.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNew Zealand 72%
Iran 21%
Egypt 17%
Belgium 13%
New Zealand
54%
Iran
21%
Egypt
17%
Belgium
13%
New Zealand 72%
Iran 21%
Egypt 17%
Belgium 13%
New Zealand
54%
Iran
21%
Egypt
17%
Belgium
13%
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...New Zealand enters Group G as the lowest-ranked side with the least recent high-level experience against the other three nations, driving trader consensus toward the All Whites as the most probable last-place finisher. Egypt and Iran, while stronger on paper, carry their own uncertainties around squad depth, recent form, and the physical demands of a compressed schedule, keeping their implied probabilities clustered near 50 percent alongside “Other.” Belgium’s superior roster depth and European pedigree make a bottom finish highly unlikely. The tight spread among the leading outcomes reflects the absence of matches played so far and the possibility that any single result or injury could reorder the group standings before the final matchday.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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