This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.
Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.Anthropic’s private-market valuation reached $965 billion following its $65 billion Series H round closed on May 28, 2026, driven by a revenue run-rate that crossed $47 billion amid surging enterprise demand for its Claude models. This marks a sharp acceleration from the $380 billion valuation established in the February 2026 Series G financing, reflecting hyperscaler compute commitments and investor appetite for frontier AI assets. The company confidentially filed a draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, positioning a potential IPO that could establish a public valuation benchmark before year-end. Key variables for any December 31 threshold include IPO market conditions, further funding rounds or secondary transactions, and sustained revenue growth against competitive pressures from OpenAI and other AI developers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.
Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.
Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
Anthropic’s private-market valuation reached $965 billion following its $65 billion Series H round closed on May 28, 2026, driven by a revenue run-rate that crossed $47 billion amid surging enterprise demand for its Claude models. This marks a sharp acceleration from the $380 billion valuation established in the February 2026 Series G financing, reflecting hyperscaler compute commitments and investor appetite for frontier AI assets. The company confidentially filed a draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, positioning a potential IPO that could establish a public valuation benchmark before year-end. Key variables for any December 31 threshold include IPO market conditions, further funding rounds or secondary transactions, and sustained revenue growth against competitive pressures from OpenAI and other AI developers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic confidentially files for IPO targeting near $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.1T rises to 97%3%
Anthropic filed a confidential S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, signaling its intent to go public with a valuation near $965 billion. This filing reinforced market expectations of a near-trillion-dollar valuation by year-end and supported sustained confidence in the company's valuation prospects, particularly for the $1.1T and $1.25T outcomes.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic confidentially files for IPO with SEC targeting $965 billion valuation
↑$1.5T surges to 76%19%
Anthropic confidentially submitted its draft registration statement (Form S-1) to the SEC, signaling its intent to go public. This filing increased market confidence in Anthropic's valuation prospects and contributed to sustained high prices in the prediction market.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic Confidentially Files for U.S. Initial Public Offering
↑$1.1T dips to 97%1%
Following its massive funding round, Anthropic submitted a confidential draft S-1 registration statement to the SEC, setting up one of the largest AI public listings ever attempted.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic IPO filing sparks investor interest amid AI market boom
↑$1.75T jumps to 60%12%
The confidential IPO filing by Anthropic was widely reported and interpreted as a strong signal of the company's growth and market position, reinforcing investor optimism and supporting elevated market prices for valuation milestones.
May 28 2026
Anthropic Raises $65 Billion in Series H Funding at a $965 Billion Valuation
↑$1.25T rises to 89%1%
Anthropic announced a massive $65 billion funding round that valued the company at $965 billion, pushing its valuation past rival OpenAI and driving up the odds of hitting higher valuation targets.
May 28 2026
Anthropic raises $65 billion at $965 billion valuation, surpassing OpenAI
↑$1.1T surges to 92%41%
Anthropic announced a $65 billion Series H funding round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, making it the most valuable AI startup and surpassing OpenAI's $852 billion valuation. This funding round was led by Altimeter Capital, Dragoneer, Greenoaks, and Sequoia Capital, and included strategic infrastructure partners like Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix. The announcement significantly increased market confidence in Anthropic's valuation prospects, driving up prices for all valuation thresholds, especially the $1.1T and $1.25T outcomes.
May 28 2026
Anthropic raises $65 billion in Series H funding at $965 billion valuation
↑$1.1T surges to 82%31%
Anthropic announced a $65 billion Series H funding round led by Altimeter Capital, Dragoneer, Greenoaks, and Sequoia Capital, pushing its valuation to $965 billion. This funding round was a key driver of market optimism, significantly increasing the perceived likelihood that Anthropic's valuation would hit higher thresholds by year-end.
May 28 2026
Anthropic releases Claude Opus 4.8 model alongside funding announcement
↑$1.25T surges to 76%25%
On the same day as the funding announcement, Anthropic released its Claude Opus 4.8 model, showcasing improved capabilities. This product update reinforced investor confidence in Anthropic's growth prospects and contributed to the valuation surge.
May 19 2026
Polymarket Launches Private Company Valuation Prediction Markets Powered by Nasdaq Private Market Data
↑$1.1T surges to 82%31%
Polymarket introduced a new category of event contracts allowing traders to speculate on the valuations of major private companies, including Anthropic, using official NPM data for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.
Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.Anthropic’s private-market valuation reached $965 billion following its $65 billion Series H round closed on May 28, 2026, driven by a revenue run-rate that crossed $47 billion amid surging enterprise demand for its Claude models. This marks a sharp acceleration from the $380 billion valuation established in the February 2026 Series G financing, reflecting hyperscaler compute commitments and investor appetite for frontier AI assets. The company confidentially filed a draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, positioning a potential IPO that could establish a public valuation benchmark before year-end. Key variables for any December 31 threshold include IPO market conditions, further funding rounds or secondary transactions, and sustained revenue growth against competitive pressures from OpenAI and other AI developers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.
Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period.
Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time.
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
Anthropic’s private-market valuation reached $965 billion following its $65 billion Series H round closed on May 28, 2026, driven by a revenue run-rate that crossed $47 billion amid surging enterprise demand for its Claude models. This marks a sharp acceleration from the $380 billion valuation established in the February 2026 Series G financing, reflecting hyperscaler compute commitments and investor appetite for frontier AI assets. The company confidentially filed a draft S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, positioning a potential IPO that could establish a public valuation benchmark before year-end. Key variables for any December 31 threshold include IPO market conditions, further funding rounds or secondary transactions, and sustained revenue growth against competitive pressures from OpenAI and other AI developers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic confidentially files for IPO targeting near $1 trillion valuation
↑$1.1T rises to 97%3%
Anthropic filed a confidential S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, signaling its intent to go public with a valuation near $965 billion. This filing reinforced market expectations of a near-trillion-dollar valuation by year-end and supported sustained confidence in the company's valuation prospects, particularly for the $1.1T and $1.25T outcomes.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic confidentially files for IPO with SEC targeting $965 billion valuation
↑$1.5T surges to 76%19%
Anthropic confidentially submitted its draft registration statement (Form S-1) to the SEC, signaling its intent to go public. This filing increased market confidence in Anthropic's valuation prospects and contributed to sustained high prices in the prediction market.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic Confidentially Files for U.S. Initial Public Offering
↑$1.1T dips to 97%1%
Following its massive funding round, Anthropic submitted a confidential draft S-1 registration statement to the SEC, setting up one of the largest AI public listings ever attempted.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic IPO filing sparks investor interest amid AI market boom
↑$1.75T jumps to 60%12%
The confidential IPO filing by Anthropic was widely reported and interpreted as a strong signal of the company's growth and market position, reinforcing investor optimism and supporting elevated market prices for valuation milestones.
May 28 2026
Anthropic Raises $65 Billion in Series H Funding at a $965 Billion Valuation
↑$1.25T rises to 89%1%
Anthropic announced a massive $65 billion funding round that valued the company at $965 billion, pushing its valuation past rival OpenAI and driving up the odds of hitting higher valuation targets.
May 28 2026
Anthropic raises $65 billion at $965 billion valuation, surpassing OpenAI
↑$1.1T surges to 92%41%
Anthropic announced a $65 billion Series H funding round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, making it the most valuable AI startup and surpassing OpenAI's $852 billion valuation. This funding round was led by Altimeter Capital, Dragoneer, Greenoaks, and Sequoia Capital, and included strategic infrastructure partners like Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix. The announcement significantly increased market confidence in Anthropic's valuation prospects, driving up prices for all valuation thresholds, especially the $1.1T and $1.25T outcomes.
May 28 2026
Anthropic raises $65 billion in Series H funding at $965 billion valuation
↑$1.1T surges to 82%31%
Anthropic announced a $65 billion Series H funding round led by Altimeter Capital, Dragoneer, Greenoaks, and Sequoia Capital, pushing its valuation to $965 billion. This funding round was a key driver of market optimism, significantly increasing the perceived likelihood that Anthropic's valuation would hit higher thresholds by year-end.
May 28 2026
Anthropic releases Claude Opus 4.8 model alongside funding announcement
↑$1.25T surges to 76%25%
On the same day as the funding announcement, Anthropic released its Claude Opus 4.8 model, showcasing improved capabilities. This product update reinforced investor confidence in Anthropic's growth prospects and contributed to the valuation surge.
May 19 2026
Polymarket Launches Private Company Valuation Prediction Markets Powered by Nasdaq Private Market Data
↑$1.1T surges to 82%31%
Polymarket introduced a new category of event contracts allowing traders to speculate on the valuations of major private companies, including Anthropic, using official NPM data for resolution.
"Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑$1.0T" at 100%, followed by "↑$1.1T" at 93%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?" is "↑$1.0T" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑$1.1T" at 93%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.2 million traded on “Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on "Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.
On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "↑$1.0T" in the "Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "↑$1.0T" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.
The "Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jan 1, 2027. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.
The "Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?" market has an active community of 14 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.
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Frequently Asked Questions