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icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in April?

Which artists will have #1 hits in April?

icon for Which artists will have #1 hits in April?

Which artists will have #1 hits in April?

$109,084 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$109,084 Vol.

Polymarket

Alex Warren

$5,064 Vol.

1%

Kanye West

$6,380 Vol.

1%

Taylor Swift

$4,445 Vol.

1%

Bad Bunny

$37,502 Vol.

1%

Bruno Mars

$39,510 Vol.

1%

Noah Kahan

$8,885 Vol.

1%

Olivia Dean

$6,124 Vol.

1%

Don Toliver

$1,176 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors none of the listed artists achieving a daily #1 on Spotify's Global Top Songs chart in April 2026, as implied probabilities for frontrunners like Bruno Mars and Bad Bunny hover near 1% with the month concluding today. Despite strong Billboard Hot 100 showings—"I Just Might" by Bruno Mars and "Choosin' Texas" by Ella Langley (unlisted)—global Spotify streams have been dominated by unlisted acts including Justin Bieber's viral "Beauty And A Beat (feat. Nicki Minaj)," BTS' "Swim," and Olivia Rodrigo's surging "Drop Dead," which debuted at Hot 100 #1 this week. Late-April streaming data shows no breakthroughs for market options amid fierce competition from pop revivals and K-pop momentum, with resolution imminent based on final daily charts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Volume
$109,084
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors none of the listed artists achieving a daily #1 on Spotify's Global Top Songs chart in April 2026, as implied probabilities for frontrunners like Bruno Mars and Bad Bunny hover near 1% with the month concluding today. Despite strong Billboard Hot 100 showings—"I Just Might" by Bruno Mars and "Choosin' Texas" by Ella Langley (unlisted)—global Spotify streams have been dominated by unlisted acts including Justin Bieber's viral "Beauty And A Beat (feat. Nicki Minaj)," BTS' "Swim," and Olivia Rodrigo's surging "Drop Dead," which debuted at Hot 100 #1 this week. Late-April streaming data shows no breakthroughs for market options amid fierce competition from pop revivals and K-pop momentum, with resolution imminent based on final daily charts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Volume
$109,084
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which artists will have #1 hits in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bad Bunny" at 1%, followed by "Alex Warren" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which artists will have #1 hits in April?" has generated $109.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which artists will have #1 hits in April?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Which artists will have #1 hits in April?" is "Bad Bunny" at just 1%, with "Alex Warren" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Which artists will have #1 hits in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.