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Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 9

icon for Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 9

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 9

May 4

May 4

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 97.0%

I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen 4.4%

Doors - Noah Kahan 4.3%

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo 1.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 97.0%

I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen 4.4%

Doors - Noah Kahan 4.3%

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo 1.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$424 Vol.

97%

I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen

$66 Vol.

4%

Doors - Noah Kahan

$59 Vol.

4%

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo

$18 Vol.

2%

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan

$145 Vol.

1%

Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj

$296 Vol.

1%

Man I Need - Olivia Dean

$350 Vol.

<1%

Elizabeth Taylor - Taylor Swift

$202 Vol.

<1%

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 9, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds a commanding 97% implied probability of topping the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of May 9, reflecting trader consensus on its sustained dominance—seven nonconsecutive weeks at #1 through the April 20 chart, a record-tying 20 weeks atop Hot Country Songs, and a streaming/sales surge from her #1 album debut "Dandelion." Early tracking data (April 24-30) shows it leading all metrics, blocking her own rising duet "I Can't Love You Anymore" with Morgan Wallen and challengers like Noah Kahan's "Doors" or Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead." Upsets remain possible via viral TikTok moments or late-week radio spikes before the May 1-7 tracking close, though historical country crossover longevity favors the frontrunner.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 9, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$1,561
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 9, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 9, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" holds a commanding 97% implied probability of topping the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of May 9, reflecting trader consensus on its sustained dominance—seven nonconsecutive weeks at #1 through the April 20 chart, a record-tying 20 weeks atop Hot Country Songs, and a streaming/sales surge from her #1 album debut "Dandelion." Early tracking data (April 24-30) shows it leading all metrics, blocking her own rising duet "I Can't Love You Anymore" with Morgan Wallen and challengers like Noah Kahan's "Doors" or Olivia Rodrigo's "Drop Dead." Upsets remain possible via viral TikTok moments or late-week radio spikes before the May 1-7 tracking close, though historical country crossover longevity favors the frontrunner.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 9, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$1,561
End Date
May 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of May 9, 2026”. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 9" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 97%, followed by "I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 9" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 9," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 9" is "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "I Can't Love You Anymore - Ella Langley, Morgan Wallen" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 9" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.