Polymarket's multi-outcome market on terms uttered during the May 6 Lemonade Stand Podcast episode captures trader consensus on hosts DougDoug, Atrioc, and Aiden's humorous takes on prevailing business news, with implied probabilities reflecting skin-in-the-game bets tied to recent macroeconomic headlines like trade tariffs and Federal Reserve rhetoric from the April 2026 FOMC minutes. Absent a pre-release teaser from @thelemonadecast, current pricing draws from the prior April 29 episode's focus on timely "news" and "tough" developments, alongside hosts' historical verbosity on economy-adjacent topics amid persistent inflation signals in latest CPI data. Resolution hinges on verbatim mentions post-episode drop, with volume likely spiking in the next 48 hours as real-time news catalysts emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIran
62%
China
81%
Federal Reserve
12%
Trump
78%
Arbitrage
11%
Energy
76%
Canada
50%
Patreon
93%
Collateral
10%
Economy
67%
Hormone
11%
Brain
69%
Amortization
10%
Crazy
93%
Housing
55%
Golden
34%
Fiduciary
9%
Amazon
41%
Socialism
10%
Sweden
26%
Korea
25%
Gold
49%
Xi
19%
Epstein
15%
Gavin / Newsom
16%
Anthropic
37%
Powell
14%
Scam
25%
Hoax
10%
$205 Vol.
Iran
62%
China
81%
Federal Reserve
12%
Trump
78%
Arbitrage
11%
Energy
76%
Canada
50%
Patreon
93%
Collateral
10%
Economy
67%
Hormone
11%
Brain
69%
Amortization
10%
Crazy
93%
Housing
55%
Golden
34%
Fiduciary
9%
Amazon
41%
Socialism
10%
Sweden
26%
Korea
25%
Gold
49%
Xi
19%
Epstein
15%
Gavin / Newsom
16%
Anthropic
37%
Powell
14%
Scam
25%
Hoax
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify.
If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast posted on YouTube. Any video posted to the channel https://www.youtube.com/@LemonadeStandPodcast with the words "Lemonade Stand" in the title will qualify.
If no such episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast is aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket's multi-outcome market on terms uttered during the May 6 Lemonade Stand Podcast episode captures trader consensus on hosts DougDoug, Atrioc, and Aiden's humorous takes on prevailing business news, with implied probabilities reflecting skin-in-the-game bets tied to recent macroeconomic headlines like trade tariffs and Federal Reserve rhetoric from the April 2026 FOMC minutes. Absent a pre-release teaser from @thelemonadecast, current pricing draws from the prior April 29 episode's focus on timely "news" and "tough" developments, alongside hosts' historical verbosity on economy-adjacent topics amid persistent inflation signals in latest CPI data. Resolution hinges on verbatim mentions post-episode drop, with volume likely spiking in the next 48 hours as real-time news catalysts emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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