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icon for Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

icon for Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

5.0%–5.9% 49%

6.0%–6.9% 43%

7.0%–7.9% 5%

4.0%–4.9% 2.9%

Polymarket
NEW

5.0%–5.9% 49%

6.0%–6.9% 43%

7.0%–7.9% 5%

4.0%–4.9% 2.9%

Polymarket
NEW

<3.0%

$113 Vol.

1%

3.0%–3.9%

$118 Vol.

<1%

4.0%–4.9%

$86 Vol.

3%

5.0%–5.9%

$1,371 Vol.

49%

6.0%–6.9%

$1,473 Vol.

43%

7.0%–7.9%

$893 Vol.

5%

8.0%+

$174 Vol.

2%

This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports the 12-month percent change in the Producer Price Index for final demand to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The April 2026 PPI release, which printed at 6.0% year-over-year against 4.9% consensus and 4.3% prior, serves as the dominant catalyst elevating market-implied odds for the May figure due June 11. The 1.4% monthly advance—the largest since early 2022—reflected broad-based gains in goods, services, and energy components amid geopolitical pressures, shifting trader consensus toward sustained wholesale price momentum rather than rapid reversion. With 5.0%–5.9% at 48.5% and 6.0%–6.9% at 42.5% nearly tied, positioning reflects uncertainty over base effects versus ongoing cost pass-through in final demand. Lower brackets remain thinly traded as recent data revisions and labor-market resilience keep the inflation trajectory contested ahead of the release.

This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports the 12-month percent change in the Producer Price Index for final demand to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.

If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$4,228
End Date
Jun 11, 2026
Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports the 12-month percent change in the Producer Price Index for final demand to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports the 12-month percent change in the Producer Price Index for final demand to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The April 2026 PPI release, which printed at 6.0% year-over-year against 4.9% consensus and 4.3% prior, serves as the dominant catalyst elevating market-implied odds for the May figure due June 11. The 1.4% monthly advance—the largest since early 2022—reflected broad-based gains in goods, services, and energy components amid geopolitical pressures, shifting trader consensus toward sustained wholesale price momentum rather than rapid reversion. With 5.0%–5.9% at 48.5% and 6.0%–6.9% at 42.5% nearly tied, positioning reflects uncertainty over base effects versus ongoing cost pass-through in final demand. Lower brackets remain thinly traded as recent data revisions and labor-market resilience keep the inflation trajectory contested ahead of the release.

This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports the 12-month percent change in the Producer Price Index for final demand to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.

If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$4,228
End Date
Jun 11, 2026
Market Opened
May 29, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports the 12-month percent change in the Producer Price Index for final demand to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "5.0%–5.9%" at 49%, followed by "6.0%–6.9%" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026" is "5.0%–5.9%" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6.0%–6.9%" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.