The April 2026 PPI release, which printed at 6.0% year-over-year against 4.9% consensus and 4.3% prior, serves as the dominant catalyst elevating market-implied odds for the May figure due June 11. The 1.4% monthly advance—the largest since early 2022—reflected broad-based gains in goods, services, and energy components amid geopolitical pressures, shifting trader consensus toward sustained wholesale price momentum rather than rapid reversion. With 5.0%–5.9% at 48.5% and 6.0%–6.9% at 42.5% nearly tied, positioning reflects uncertainty over base effects versus ongoing cost pass-through in final demand. Lower brackets remain thinly traded as recent data revisions and labor-market resilience keep the inflation trajectory contested ahead of the release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedProducer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026
5.0%–5.9% 49%
6.0%–6.9% 43%
7.0%–7.9% 5%
4.0%–4.9% 2.9%
<3.0%
1%
3.0%–3.9%
<1%
4.0%–4.9%
3%
5.0%–5.9%
49%
6.0%–6.9%
43%
7.0%–7.9%
5%
8.0%+
2%
5.0%–5.9% 49%
6.0%–6.9% 43%
7.0%–7.9% 5%
4.0%–4.9% 2.9%
<3.0%
1%
3.0%–3.9%
<1%
4.0%–4.9%
3%
5.0%–5.9%
49%
6.0%–6.9%
43%
7.0%–7.9%
5%
8.0%+
2%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports the 12-month percent change in the Producer Price Index for final demand to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: May 29, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports the 12-month percent change in the Producer Price Index for final demand to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The April 2026 PPI release, which printed at 6.0% year-over-year against 4.9% consensus and 4.3% prior, serves as the dominant catalyst elevating market-implied odds for the May figure due June 11. The 1.4% monthly advance—the largest since early 2022—reflected broad-based gains in goods, services, and energy components amid geopolitical pressures, shifting trader consensus toward sustained wholesale price momentum rather than rapid reversion. With 5.0%–5.9% at 48.5% and 6.0%–6.9% at 42.5% nearly tied, positioning reflects uncertainty over base effects versus ongoing cost pass-through in final demand. Lower brackets remain thinly traded as recent data revisions and labor-market resilience keep the inflation trajectory contested ahead of the release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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