Liam's commanding 90.4% implied probability as the most popular boy name for 2025 births reflects its unchallenged dominance in Social Security Administration (SSA) rankings, holding the top spot since 2017 and reaffirmed in the latest 2024 data released last May. Trader consensus, backed by substantial volume, hinges on the name's enduring cultural appeal—short, strong, and versatile—amid stable trends in state vital records and private trackers like BabyCenter, where it remains a top contender despite Noah's lead there. With minimal volatility in top boy names historically, an upset would require a dramatic late-2025 surge for Noah or another rival, though SSA's full 2025 list, expected imminently around May 9, could confirm or shift this frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMost popular boy name 2025
Most popular boy name 2025
Liam 90.3%
Noah 6.4%
James 1.9%
Theodore 1.1%
$844,697 Vol.
$844,697 Vol.
Liam
90%
Noah
6%
James
2%
Theodore
1%
Mateo
1%
Elijah
1%
Oliver
1%
Henry
<1%
Lucas
<1%
William
<1%
Liam 90.3%
Noah 6.4%
James 1.9%
Theodore 1.1%
$844,697 Vol.
$844,697 Vol.
Liam
90%
Noah
6%
James
2%
Theodore
1%
Mateo
1%
Elijah
1%
Oliver
1%
Henry
<1%
Lucas
<1%
William
<1%
The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.
This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Market Opened: Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.
This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Liam's commanding 90.4% implied probability as the most popular boy name for 2025 births reflects its unchallenged dominance in Social Security Administration (SSA) rankings, holding the top spot since 2017 and reaffirmed in the latest 2024 data released last May. Trader consensus, backed by substantial volume, hinges on the name's enduring cultural appeal—short, strong, and versatile—amid stable trends in state vital records and private trackers like BabyCenter, where it remains a top contender despite Noah's lead there. With minimal volatility in top boy names historically, an upset would require a dramatic late-2025 surge for Noah or another rival, though SSA's full 2025 list, expected imminently around May 9, could confirm or shift this frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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