Amy Klobuchar’s entry into the open 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race has solidified Democratic frontrunner status in trader pricing. After incumbent Tim Walz withdrew early in the cycle amid investigations into state programs, the four-term U.S. senator quickly secured party endorsement and leads early general-election polling by double digits. Minnesota has not elected a Republican governor since 2002, and the current Republican primary field remains divided among candidates including Lisa Demuth and Kendall Qualls. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. A major late-campaign development—such as a significant shift in national political conditions, an unforeseen primary outcome, or a candidate-specific event—would be required to alter the current consensus probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$59,561 Vol.
$59,561 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
4%
$59,561 Vol.
$59,561 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$27,250 Vol.
94%
Republican
$32,311 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Amy Klobuchar’s entry into the open 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race has solidified Democratic frontrunner status in trader pricing. After incumbent Tim Walz withdrew early in the cycle amid investigations into state programs, the four-term U.S. senator quickly secured party endorsement and leads early general-election polling by double digits. Minnesota has not elected a Republican governor since 2002, and the current Republican primary field remains divided among candidates including Lisa Demuth and Kendall Qualls. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. A major late-campaign development—such as a significant shift in national political conditions, an unforeseen primary outcome, or a candidate-specific event—would be required to alter the current consensus probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$59,561End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Amy Klobuchar’s entry into the open 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race has solidified Democratic frontrunner status in trader pricing. After incumbent Tim Walz withdrew early in the cycle amid investigations into state programs, the four-term U.S. senator quickly secured party endorsement and leads early general-election polling by double digits. Minnesota has not elected a Republican governor since 2002, and the current Republican primary field remains divided among candidates including Lisa Demuth and Kendall Qualls. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. A major late-campaign development—such as a significant shift in national political conditions, an unforeseen primary outcome, or a candidate-specific event—would be required to alter the current consensus probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$59,561End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Amy Klobuchar’s entry into the open 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial race has solidified Democratic frontrunner status in trader pricing. After incumbent Tim Walz withdrew early in the cycle amid investigations into state programs, the four-term U.S. senator quickly secured party endorsement and leads early general-election polling by double digits. Minnesota has not elected a Republican governor since 2002, and the current Republican primary field remains divided among candidates including Lisa Demuth and Kendall Qualls. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Democratic. A major late-campaign development—such as a significant shift in national political conditions, an unforeseen primary outcome, or a candidate-specific event—would be required to alter the current consensus probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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