Skip to main content
icon for SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·House Primary

SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·House Primary

SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Nancy Lacore 80%

Mac Deford 19%

Matt Fulmer 2.4%

Max Diaz 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Nancy Lacore 80%

Mac Deford 19%

Matt Fulmer 2.4%

Max Diaz 1.5%

Polymarket
NEW

Nancy Lacore

$577 Vol.

80%

Mac Deford

$767 Vol.

19%

Matt Fulmer

$1,618 Vol.

2%

Max Diaz

$517 Vol.

2%

Francina Dantzler

$659 Vol.

1%

Ben Frasier

$738 Vol.

1%

Mayra Rivera-Vazquez

$599 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nancy Lacore leads the June 9 Democratic primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District as the consensus frontrunner among traders. Her 35-year Navy career, including service as a helicopter pilot and Chief of the Navy Reserve, along with an endorsement from EMILYs List, has distinguished her in a crowded field of seven candidates. Mac Deford, a Coast Guard veteran and 2024 primary runner-up with local government experience, maintains a secondary position through name recognition and repeated outreach. A May debate among the candidates highlighted issues such as redistricting and early voting procedures, while recent reporting on the primary has emphasized Lacore’s profile and the fragmentation among challengers including Matt Fulmer, Max Diaz, Francina Dantzler, Ben Frasier, and Mayra Rivera-Vazquez. Early voting is already underway ahead of the primary date.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,475
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
May 25, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Nancy Lacore leads the June 9 Democratic primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District as the consensus frontrunner among traders. Her 35-year Navy career, including service as a helicopter pilot and Chief of the Navy Reserve, along with an endorsement from EMILYs List, has distinguished her in a crowded field of seven candidates. Mac Deford, a Coast Guard veteran and 2024 primary runner-up with local government experience, maintains a secondary position through name recognition and repeated outreach. A May debate among the candidates highlighted issues such as redistricting and early voting procedures, while recent reporting on the primary has emphasized Lacore’s profile and the fragmentation among challengers including Matt Fulmer, Max Diaz, Francina Dantzler, Ben Frasier, and Mayra Rivera-Vazquez. Early voting is already underway ahead of the primary date.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$5,475
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
May 25, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related

icon for Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?

Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?

79%
icon for Will Mallory Dittmer be the Democratic nominee for SC-05?

Will Mallory Dittmer be the Democratic nominee for SC-05?

84%
icon for Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

55%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nancy Lacore" at 80%, followed by "Mac Deford" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Nancy Lacore" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mac Deford" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SC-01 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.