Trader consensus prices Croatia at 41.5% implied probability to win their FIFA World Cup Group L clash against Ghana on June 27 in Philadelphia's neutral Lincoln Financial Field, reflecting the Europeans' superior FIFA ranking (11th vs. Ghana's 74th) and World Cup pedigree despite a recent injury crisis. Key developments tightening the market include Luka Modrić's cheekbone fracture surgery last week—his AC Milan season is over, though coach Zlatko Dalić expects full recovery—and ongoing recoveries for Joško Gvardiol (tibia), Marco Pašalić (quadriceps), and others, tempering Croatia's edge after March friendlies (3-1 loss to Brazil, 2-1 win over Colombia). Ghana's 28% reflects poor form (5-1 Austria loss, 2-1 Germany defeat in late March) and Mohammed Kudus' quad setback, boosting the draw at 32.5% amid cautious group-stage play.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Croatia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Croatia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Croatia at 41.5% implied probability to win their FIFA World Cup Group L clash against Ghana on June 27 in Philadelphia's neutral Lincoln Financial Field, reflecting the Europeans' superior FIFA ranking (11th vs. Ghana's 74th) and World Cup pedigree despite a recent injury crisis. Key developments tightening the market include Luka Modrić's cheekbone fracture surgery last week—his AC Milan season is over, though coach Zlatko Dalić expects full recovery—and ongoing recoveries for Joško Gvardiol (tibia), Marco Pašalić (quadriceps), and others, tempering Croatia's edge after March friendlies (3-1 loss to Brazil, 2-1 win over Colombia). Ghana's 28% reflects poor form (5-1 Austria loss, 2-1 Germany defeat in late March) and Mohammed Kudus' quad setback, boosting the draw at 32.5% amid cautious group-stage play.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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