Trader consensus prices Egypt slightly ahead at 42% implied probability for their June 26, 2026 FIFA World Cup Group G clash against IR Iran at neutral Lumen Field in Seattle, with IR Iran at 38.5% and draw at 38%, capturing the finely balanced dynamics of two confederation powerhouses. Mohamed Salah's hamstring tear, confirmed last week by Egypt's national team director, rules him out for four weeks but leaves time for World Cup recovery, while winger Islam Issa's anterior cruciate ligament rupture—sustained after recent starts against Saudi Arabia and Spain—eliminates him entirely. IR Iran, cleared by FIFA on April 15 amid geopolitical tensions over U.S. hosting, enters with robust qualifier form and no major reported absences, neutralizing Egypt's attacking edge in this rare head-to-head on American soil.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Egypt wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Egypt wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Egypt slightly ahead at 42% implied probability for their June 26, 2026 FIFA World Cup Group G clash against IR Iran at neutral Lumen Field in Seattle, with IR Iran at 38.5% and draw at 38%, capturing the finely balanced dynamics of two confederation powerhouses. Mohamed Salah's hamstring tear, confirmed last week by Egypt's national team director, rules him out for four weeks but leaves time for World Cup recovery, while winger Islam Issa's anterior cruciate ligament rupture—sustained after recent starts against Saudi Arabia and Spain—eliminates him entirely. IR Iran, cleared by FIFA on April 15 amid geopolitical tensions over U.S. hosting, enters with robust qualifier form and no major reported absences, neutralizing Egypt's attacking edge in this rare head-to-head on American soil.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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