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Finance·IPO

Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap

icon for Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap
Finance·IPO

Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by June 30, 2026 93.8%

<200B 4.3%

350–400B 2.7%

400B+ 1.2%

Polymarket

$295,265 Vol.

No IPO by June 30, 2026 93.8%

<200B 4.3%

350–400B 2.7%

400B+ 1.2%

Polymarket

$295,265 Vol.

<200B

$44,408 Vol.

4%

200–250B

$48,884 Vol.

<1%

250–300B

$12,781 Vol.

<1%

300–350B

$104,880 Vol.

1%

350–400B

$12,015 Vol.

3%

400B+

$54,451 Vol.

1%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$17,846 Vol.

94%

This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 93.8% implied probability against a Fannie Mae IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting persistent conservatorship under FHFA oversight and unmet recapitalization targets, with full capital compliance projected no earlier than Q3 2027. Recent Q1 2026 earnings of $3.7 billion underscore robust profitability—$14.4 billion in 2025—but regulatory hurdles, including mortgage bond uncertainties and affordability priorities under the Trump administration, have stalled privatization momentum since early 2026 signals faded. FHFA Director Pulte recently affirmed a 12-18 month exit horizon, prioritizing taxpayer risk mitigation. A surprise presidential directive or accelerated Treasury-FHFA amendments could challenge this positioning, though market dynamics favor caution amid housing finance stability concerns.

This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$295,265
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 22, 2025, 7:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 93.8% implied probability against a Fannie Mae IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting persistent conservatorship under FHFA oversight and unmet recapitalization targets, with full capital compliance projected no earlier than Q3 2027. Recent Q1 2026 earnings of $3.7 billion underscore robust profitability—$14.4 billion in 2025—but regulatory hurdles, including mortgage bond uncertainties and affordability priorities under the Trump administration, have stalled privatization momentum since early 2026 signals faded. FHFA Director Pulte recently affirmed a 12-18 month exit horizon, prioritizing taxpayer risk mitigation. A surprise presidential directive or accelerated Treasury-FHFA amendments could challenge this positioning, though market dynamics favor caution amid housing finance stability concerns.

This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$295,265
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 22, 2025, 7:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No IPO by June 30, 2026" at 94%, followed by "<200B" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap" has generated $295.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap" is "No IPO by June 30, 2026" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<200B" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.