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Sports·Formula 1

Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Winner

icon for Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Winner
Sports·Formula 1

Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Winner

George Russell 37%

Kimi Antonelli 36%

Oscar Piastri 8%

Carlos Sainz Jr. 5.1%

Polymarket
NEW

George Russell 37%

Kimi Antonelli 36%

Oscar Piastri 8%

Carlos Sainz Jr. 5.1%

Polymarket
NEW

George Russell

$0 Vol.

37%

Kimi Antonelli

$0 Vol.

36%

Oscar Piastri

$0 Vol.

8%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$10 Vol.

5%

Lando Norris

$0 Vol.

5%

Charles Leclerc

$0 Vol.

4%

Lewis Hamilton

$0 Vol.

4%

Max Verstappen

$0 Vol.

2%

Isack Hadjar

$5 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$5 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Alonso

$10 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$0 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$5 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Perez

$10 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$5 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$0 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hulkenberg

$5 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$0 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$5 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$5 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$5 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$10 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket on the driver who wins the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 2, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with winning the Sprint as published by the FIA. If the Sprint is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Trader consensus prices Nico Hulkenberg as a slim 47.3% implied probability favorite for Miami Grand Prix sprint winner, closely trailed by rookie Arvid Lindblad (40.8%), Kimi Antonelli (39.5%), George Russell (38.5%), Gabriel Bortoleto (36.1%), and Liam Lawson (35.3%), highlighting razor-thin margins in a chaotic short-format race on Miami's straight-heavy layout prone to multi-car battles and DNFs. Hulkenberg's edge stems from two consecutive P11 finishes signaling Audi's upward momentum post five-week break, bolstered by his sprint experience amid rain forecasts that could neutralize Mercedes' straight-line dominance where Antonelli and Russell thrive. Racing Bulls duo Lindblad-Lawson impress with recent pace gains, while Bortoleto pairs experience with youth in Audi, underscoring mid-pack volatility and upgrade reveals keeping the field bunched ahead of Friday sprint qualifying.

This is a polymarket on the driver who wins the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 2, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with winning the Sprint as published by the FIA. If the Sprint is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$80
End Date
May 9, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:32 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who wins the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 2, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with winning the Sprint as published by the FIA. If the Sprint is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the driver who wins the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 2, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with winning the Sprint as published by the FIA. If the Sprint is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Trader consensus prices Nico Hulkenberg as a slim 47.3% implied probability favorite for Miami Grand Prix sprint winner, closely trailed by rookie Arvid Lindblad (40.8%), Kimi Antonelli (39.5%), George Russell (38.5%), Gabriel Bortoleto (36.1%), and Liam Lawson (35.3%), highlighting razor-thin margins in a chaotic short-format race on Miami's straight-heavy layout prone to multi-car battles and DNFs. Hulkenberg's edge stems from two consecutive P11 finishes signaling Audi's upward momentum post five-week break, bolstered by his sprint experience amid rain forecasts that could neutralize Mercedes' straight-line dominance where Antonelli and Russell thrive. Racing Bulls duo Lindblad-Lawson impress with recent pace gains, while Bortoleto pairs experience with youth in Audi, underscoring mid-pack volatility and upgrade reveals keeping the field bunched ahead of Friday sprint qualifying.

This is a polymarket on the driver who wins the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 2, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with winning the Sprint as published by the FIA. If the Sprint is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$80
End Date
May 9, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:32 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who wins the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 2, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with winning the Sprint as published by the FIA. If the Sprint is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "George Russell" at 37%, followed by "Kimi Antonelli" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Winner" is "George Russell" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.