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Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

icon for MLS Cup Winner 2026
Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF 17%

Los Angeles FC 12%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 11.5%

Nashville SC 5.4%

Polymarket

$16,389,631 Vol.

Inter Miami CF 17%

Los Angeles FC 12%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 11.5%

Nashville SC 5.4%

Polymarket

$16,389,631 Vol.

Inter Miami CF

$17,573 Vol.

17%

Los Angeles FC

$25,080 Vol.

12%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

$361,194 Vol.

12%

Nashville SC

$277,917 Vol.

5%

San Jose Earthquakes

$1,059,485 Vol.

5%

San Diego FC

$1,197,993 Vol.

4%

Seattle Sounders FC

$790,392 Vol.

4%

New York City FC

$555,100 Vol.

4%

FC Cincinnati

$1,533,135 Vol.

4%

Columbus Crew

$3,025,435 Vol.

2%

Charlotte FC

$1,652,513 Vol.

2%

LA Galaxy

$13,246 Vol.

2%

Minnesota United FC

$145,993 Vol.

2%

Toronto FC

$25,665 Vol.

2%

Chicago Fire FC

$91,225 Vol.

2%

New York Red Bulls

$237,240 Vol.

2%

Houston Dynamo FC

$300,884 Vol.

1%

Orlando City SC

$2,002,587 Vol.

1%

Real Salt Lake

$2,557,265 Vol.

1%

Philadelphia Union

$74,614 Vol.

1%

Atlanta United FC

$65,416 Vol.

1%

Austin FC

$65,780 Vol.

1%

FC Dallas

$52,567 Vol.

1%

Colorado Rapids

$97,503 Vol.

1%

New England Revolution

$17,691 Vol.

1%

Portland Timbers

$58,384 Vol.

1%

D.C. United

$4,392 Vol.

<1%

St. Louis City SC

$66,443 Vol.

<1%

CF Montréal

$6,092 Vol.

<1%

Sporting Kansas City

$10,825 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Inter Miami CF at 16.5% implied probability to repeat as MLS Cup champions, buoyed by Lionel Messi's availability post-hamstring recovery and roster reloads replacing retirees Jordi Alba and Sergio Busquets with reinforcements like a top goalkeeper, despite their mid-table position amid center-back volatility and no home wins yet at New Nu Stadium. LAFC and Vancouver Whitecaps FC share 11.5%, reflecting Vancouver's recent ascent to power rankings No. 1—overtaking LAFC after Thomas Müller's full-season impact—and both clubs' elite goal differentials in a dominant Western Conference. Nashville SC's Eastern Conference lead and San Jose Earthquakes' standings surge add depth, underscoring MLS parity where regular-season form often yields to playoff hot streaks in the single-elimination format.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,389,631
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors Inter Miami CF at 16.5% implied probability to repeat as MLS Cup champions, buoyed by Lionel Messi's availability post-hamstring recovery and roster reloads replacing retirees Jordi Alba and Sergio Busquets with reinforcements like a top goalkeeper, despite their mid-table position amid center-back volatility and no home wins yet at New Nu Stadium. LAFC and Vancouver Whitecaps FC share 11.5%, reflecting Vancouver's recent ascent to power rankings No. 1—overtaking LAFC after Thomas Müller's full-season impact—and both clubs' elite goal differentials in a dominant Western Conference. Nashville SC's Eastern Conference lead and San Jose Earthquakes' standings surge add depth, underscoring MLS parity where regular-season form often yields to playoff hot streaks in the single-elimination format.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,389,631
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLS Cup Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Inter Miami CF" at 17%, followed by "Los Angeles FC" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLS Cup Winner 2026" has generated $16.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLS Cup Winner 2026," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" is "Inter Miami CF" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Los Angeles FC" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.