Mercedes holds the trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for the Miami Grand Prix constructor pole position, reflecting their commanding early-2026 form with 135 constructors' points and drivers Kimi Antonelli (72 points) and George Russell (63) leading the standings after wins in Australia, China, and Japan. Strong qualifying pace from the Silver Arrows on the Miami International Autodrome's high-speed straights and twisty sectors bolsters their edge, per recent simulations and previews. Racing Bulls trails closely at 30.8%, buoyed by Isack Hadjar's sharp single-lap speed in practice sessions and the team's opportunistic qualifying history. McLaren's power unit upgrades introduce upset potential at 16%, amid forecasts for extreme conditions that could shuffle the grid.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMercedes 49%
Ferrari 24%
Mclaren Mastercard 23%
Alpine 22.9%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
Mercedes
49%
Ferrari
15%
Mclaren Mastercard
16%
Alpine
23%
Racing Bulls
15%
Aston Martin
10%
Williams
10%
Cadillac
10%
Audi Revolut
10%
Red Bull
8%
Tgr Haas
1%
Mercedes 49%
Ferrari 24%
Mclaren Mastercard 23%
Alpine 22.9%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
Mercedes
$0 Vol.
49%
Ferrari
$8 Vol.
15%
Mclaren Mastercard
$4 Vol.
16%
Alpine
$98 Vol.
23%
Racing Bulls
$51 Vol.
15%
Aston Martin
$5 Vol.
10%
Williams
$5 Vol.
10%
Cadillac
$5 Vol.
10%
Audi Revolut
$51 Vol.
10%
Red Bull
$0 Vol.
8%
Tgr Haas
$51 Vol.
1%
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes holds the trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for the Miami Grand Prix constructor pole position, reflecting their commanding early-2026 form with 135 constructors' points and drivers Kimi Antonelli (72 points) and George Russell (63) leading the standings after wins in Australia, China, and Japan. Strong qualifying pace from the Silver Arrows on the Miami International Autodrome's high-speed straights and twisty sectors bolsters their edge, per recent simulations and previews. Racing Bulls trails closely at 30.8%, buoyed by Isack Hadjar's sharp single-lap speed in practice sessions and the team's opportunistic qualifying history. McLaren's power unit upgrades introduce upset potential at 16%, amid forecasts for extreme conditions that could shuffle the grid.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Volume
$279End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes holds the trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for the Miami Grand Prix constructor pole position, reflecting their commanding early-2026 form with 135 constructors' points and drivers Kimi Antonelli (72 points) and George Russell (63) leading the standings after wins in Australia, China, and Japan. Strong qualifying pace from the Silver Arrows on the Miami International Autodrome's high-speed straights and twisty sectors bolsters their edge, per recent simulations and previews. Racing Bulls trails closely at 30.8%, buoyed by Isack Hadjar's sharp single-lap speed in practice sessions and the team's opportunistic qualifying history. McLaren's power unit upgrades introduce upset potential at 16%, amid forecasts for extreme conditions that could shuffle the grid.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$279End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes holds the trader consensus at 48.5% implied probability for the Miami Grand Prix constructor pole position, reflecting their commanding early-2026 form with 135 constructors' points and drivers Kimi Antonelli (72 points) and George Russell (63) leading the standings after wins in Australia, China, and Japan. Strong qualifying pace from the Silver Arrows on the Miami International Autodrome's high-speed straights and twisty sectors bolsters their edge, per recent simulations and previews. Racing Bulls trails closely at 30.8%, buoyed by Isack Hadjar's sharp single-lap speed in practice sessions and the team's opportunistic qualifying history. McLaren's power unit upgrades introduce upset potential at 16%, amid forecasts for extreme conditions that could shuffle the grid.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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