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Sports·Formula 1

Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner

icon for Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner
Sports·Formula 1

Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner

Kimi Antonelli 37%

George Russell 37%

Oscar Piastri 9%

Lando Norris 8%

Polymarket
NEW

Kimi Antonelli 37%

George Russell 37%

Oscar Piastri 9%

Lando Norris 8%

Polymarket
NEW

Kimi Antonelli

$336 Vol.

37%

George Russell

$346 Vol.

37%

Oscar Piastri

$333 Vol.

9%

Lando Norris

$333 Vol.

8%

Lewis Hamilton

$266 Vol.

7%

Charles Leclerc

$333 Vol.

6%

Max Verstappen

$547 Vol.

2%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$10 Vol.

1%

Isack Hadjar

$10 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$10 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$10 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Alonso

$10 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$10 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Perez

$10 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$10 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$10 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hulkenberg

$10 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$10 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$10 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$10 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$10 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$10 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes teammates Kimi Antonelli and George Russell dominate trader consensus at 37% implied probabilities for Miami Grand Prix sprint qualifying pole, driven by their front-row sweeps in recent qualifying sessions—Russell in Australia, Antonelli in China and Japan—bolstered by the team's strongest power unit under 2026 regulations. Antonelli, leading the drivers' standings with 72 points after back-to-back wins in China and Japan, adds Miami edge from his 2025 sprint pole, the youngest in F1 history, while Russell's consistency fuels the tie amid intra-team rivalry. McLaren's Oscar Piastri (9.5%) and Lando Norris (8.0%) trail closely as frequent podium qualifiers, keeping the market tight in expected hot, dry Friday conditions testing single-lap pace around the low-speed Miami layout.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$2,645
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:32 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes teammates Kimi Antonelli and George Russell dominate trader consensus at 37% implied probabilities for Miami Grand Prix sprint qualifying pole, driven by their front-row sweeps in recent qualifying sessions—Russell in Australia, Antonelli in China and Japan—bolstered by the team's strongest power unit under 2026 regulations. Antonelli, leading the drivers' standings with 72 points after back-to-back wins in China and Japan, adds Miami edge from his 2025 sprint pole, the youngest in F1 history, while Russell's consistency fuels the tie amid intra-team rivalry. McLaren's Oscar Piastri (9.5%) and Lando Norris (8.0%) trail closely as frequent podium qualifiers, keeping the market tight in expected hot, dry Friday conditions testing single-lap pace around the low-speed Miami layout.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$2,645
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:32 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 37%, followed by "George Russell" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "George Russell" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Miami Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.