Mercedes' single-lap dominance, securing all poles through Japan with Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, has propelled them to the constructors' lead at 135 points after Miami, yet trader consensus prices every team near even at 49.5% for Canadian Grand Prix constructor pole position amid the 2026 regs' parity push. Circuit Gilles Villeneuve's razor-thin margins, punishing kerbs, and Wall of Champions chicane amplify unpredictability, favoring clean laps over raw pace as track evolution and clean air prove decisive. Ferrari trails closely at 90 points with strong Q3 threats from Leclerc and Hamilton, while midfield risers like Haas and Alpine eye upgrades; newcomers Audi Revolut and Cadillac lag but could surprise in low-downforce setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlpine 50%
Ferrari 50%
Tgr Haas 50%
Mercedes 50%
Alpine
50%
Ferrari
50%
Tgr Haas
50%
Mercedes
50%
Red Bull
50%
Racing Bulls
50%
Audi Revolut
49%
Mclaren Mastercard
49%
Aston Martin
10%
Williams
10%
Cadillac
10%
Alpine 50%
Ferrari 50%
Tgr Haas 50%
Mercedes 50%
Alpine
50%
Ferrari
50%
Tgr Haas
50%
Mercedes
50%
Red Bull
50%
Racing Bulls
50%
Audi Revolut
49%
Mclaren Mastercard
49%
Aston Martin
10%
Williams
10%
Cadillac
10%
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes' single-lap dominance, securing all poles through Japan with Kimi Antonelli and George Russell, has propelled them to the constructors' lead at 135 points after Miami, yet trader consensus prices every team near even at 49.5% for Canadian Grand Prix constructor pole position amid the 2026 regs' parity push. Circuit Gilles Villeneuve's razor-thin margins, punishing kerbs, and Wall of Champions chicane amplify unpredictability, favoring clean laps over raw pace as track evolution and clean air prove decisive. Ferrari trails closely at 90 points with strong Q3 threats from Leclerc and Hamilton, while midfield risers like Haas and Alpine eye upgrades; newcomers Audi Revolut and Cadillac lag but could surprise in low-downforce setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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