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Sports·Formula 1

Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap

icon for Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap
Sports·Formula 1

Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap

Carlos Sainz Jr. 91%

Fernando Alonso 89%

Alexander Albon 89%

Gabriel Bortoleto 89%

Polymarket
NEW

Carlos Sainz Jr. 91%

Fernando Alonso 89%

Alexander Albon 89%

Gabriel Bortoleto 89%

Polymarket
NEW

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$105 Vol.

91%

Fernando Alonso

$105 Vol.

89%

Alexander Albon

$105 Vol.

89%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$105 Vol.

89%

Arvid Lindblad

$105 Vol.

89%

Oliver Bearman

$105 Vol.

88%

Pierre Gasly

$105 Vol.

87%

Sergio Perez

$100 Vol.

87%

Franco Colapinto

$105 Vol.

87%

Nico Hulkenberg

$105 Vol.

87%

Valtteri Bottas

$105 Vol.

87%

Esteban Ocon

$240 Vol.

84%

Lance Stroll

$105 Vol.

82%

Liam Lawson

$105 Vol.

80%

Oscar Piastri

$0 Vol.

41%

Lewis Hamilton

$0 Vol.

38%

Isack Hadjar

$0 Vol.

37%

Charles Leclerc

$0 Vol.

36%

Lando Norris

$0 Vol.

36%

Max Verstappen

$0 Vol.

35%

Kimi Antonelli

$145 Vol.

24%

George Russell

$0 Vol.

24%

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Trader consensus prices Fernando Alonso, Carlos Sainz Jr., and Oliver Bearman as co-favorites at 46% implied probability for the DHL Fastest Lap at the Miami Grand Prix, with the field tightly bunched through 44% for drivers like Sergio Perez and Valtteri Bottas, reflecting pre-practice uncertainty on a sprint weekend where Free Practice 1 begins Friday. Multiple teams arrive with major aerodynamic upgrades—including McLaren's "completely new car" and others targeting straightline speed on the low-degradation Miami International Autodrome—poised to shake up single-lap pace amid Pirelli's soft C3/C4/C5 compounds favoring late-race soft tire pushes for the extra point outside podium battles. Mercedes duo Antonelli and Russell trail at lower odds despite championship leads, as their race pace dominance may limit aggressive qualifying or undercut strategies seen in recent Australia, China, and Japan rounds.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.

If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$1,745
End Date
May 10, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Trader consensus prices Fernando Alonso, Carlos Sainz Jr., and Oliver Bearman as co-favorites at 46% implied probability for the DHL Fastest Lap at the Miami Grand Prix, with the field tightly bunched through 44% for drivers like Sergio Perez and Valtteri Bottas, reflecting pre-practice uncertainty on a sprint weekend where Free Practice 1 begins Friday. Multiple teams arrive with major aerodynamic upgrades—including McLaren's "completely new car" and others targeting straightline speed on the low-degradation Miami International Autodrome—poised to shake up single-lap pace amid Pirelli's soft C3/C4/C5 compounds favoring late-race soft tire pushes for the extra point outside podium battles. Mercedes duo Antonelli and Russell trail at lower odds despite championship leads, as their race pace dominance may limit aggressive qualifying or undercut strategies seen in recent Australia, China, and Japan rounds.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.

If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$1,745
End Date
May 10, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Sainz Jr." at 46%, followed by "Fernando Alonso" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap" is "Carlos Sainz Jr." at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Fernando Alonso" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Miami Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.