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Sports·Formula 1

Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner

icon for Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner
Sports·Formula 1

Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner

Fernando Alonso 93%

Franco Colapinto 93%

Gabriel Bortoleto 92%

Pierre Gasly 49%

Polymarket
NEW

Fernando Alonso 93%

Franco Colapinto 93%

Gabriel Bortoleto 92%

Pierre Gasly 49%

Polymarket
NEW

Fernando Alonso

$40 Vol.

93%

Franco Colapinto

$40 Vol.

93%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$40 Vol.

92%

Pierre Gasly

$2 Vol.

49%

Charles Leclerc

$2 Vol.

49%

Esteban Ocon

$2 Vol.

48%

Lando Norris

$2 Vol.

48%

Kimi Antonelli

$2 Vol.

48%

Max Verstappen

$2 Vol.

48%

Nico Hulkenberg

$2 Vol.

48%

Lewis Hamilton

$2 Vol.

48%

Oliver Bearman

$2 Vol.

48%

Oscar Piastri

$2 Vol.

48%

George Russell

$2 Vol.

48%

Arvid Lindblad

$2 Vol.

48%

Isack Hadjar

$2 Vol.

48%

Liam Lawson

$2 Vol.

48%

Alexander Albon

$7 Vol.

10%

Sergio Perez

$7 Vol.

10%

Valtteri Bottas

$7 Vol.

10%

Lance Stroll

$7 Vol.

10%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$2 Vol.

6%

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 22, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 29, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Trader consensus on the Canadian Grand Prix sprint qualifying pole reflects razor-thin margins across the 2026 grid, with Pierre Gasly, Lando Norris, Kimi Antonelli, Max Verstappen, Nico Hulkenberg, Oliver Bearman, Oscar Piastri, Arvid Lindblad, Isack Hadjar, and others clustered at 48% implied probabilities amid low-liquidity trading. New power unit and active aero regulations have leveled the field, as evidenced by recent qualifying battles under two-hundredths between teammates like Antonelli-Russell and Hamilton-Leclerc, while Antonelli's China win and Gasly's strong intra-team edges signal broad momentum. Circuit Gilles Villeneuve's wall-lined, low-downforce layout rewards precision over outright pace, amplifying upset potential for rookies like Lindblad and Hadjar in this inaugural sprint weekend format.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 22, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 29, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$179
End Date
May 29, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 7:32 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 22, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 29, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 22, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 29, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Trader consensus on the Canadian Grand Prix sprint qualifying pole reflects razor-thin margins across the 2026 grid, with Pierre Gasly, Lando Norris, Kimi Antonelli, Max Verstappen, Nico Hulkenberg, Oliver Bearman, Oscar Piastri, Arvid Lindblad, Isack Hadjar, and others clustered at 48% implied probabilities amid low-liquidity trading. New power unit and active aero regulations have leveled the field, as evidenced by recent qualifying battles under two-hundredths between teammates like Antonelli-Russell and Hamilton-Leclerc, while Antonelli's China win and Gasly's strong intra-team edges signal broad momentum. Circuit Gilles Villeneuve's wall-lined, low-downforce layout rewards precision over outright pace, amplifying upset potential for rookies like Lindblad and Hadjar in this inaugural sprint weekend format.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 22, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 29, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$179
End Date
May 29, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 7:32 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, scheduled for May 22, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 29, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pierre Gasly" at 49%, followed by "Charles Leclerc" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" is "Pierre Gasly" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Charles Leclerc" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Canadian Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.