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Sports·Formula 1

Miami Grand Prix: Driver Winner

icon for Miami Grand Prix: Driver Winner
Sports·Formula 1

Miami Grand Prix: Driver Winner

George Russell 37%

Kimi Antonelli 35%

Oscar Piastri 10%

Lando Norris 8%

Polymarket

$87,652 Vol.

George Russell 37%

Kimi Antonelli 35%

Oscar Piastri 10%

Lando Norris 8%

Polymarket

$87,652 Vol.

George Russell

$3,546 Vol.

37%

Kimi Antonelli

$9,638 Vol.

35%

Oscar Piastri

$12,015 Vol.

10%

Lando Norris

$8,133 Vol.

8%

Charles Leclerc

$9,904 Vol.

7%

Lewis Hamilton

$3,505 Vol.

5%

Max Verstappen

$10,113 Vol.

3%

Isack Hadjar

$2,794 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$2,089 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Alonso

$1,955 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$1,955 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$2,064 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Perez

$2,246 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$1,954 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$1,964 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$1,954 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hulkenberg

$1,955 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$2,011 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$1,955 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$1,954 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$1,965 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$1,982 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli dominate trader consensus at 37% and 35% implied probabilities for the Miami Grand Prix driver winner, reflecting their early-season stranglehold on the championship—Antonelli leads by nine points with 72 after back-to-back victories in China and Japan, while Russell's Australia win and consistent podiums keep him close. Mercedes' superior race pace and qualifying edge, seen in Suzuka's front-row lockout, underpin the tight intra-team battle amid post-break upgrades from McLaren challenging their supremacy. The sprint format, tire degradation on Miami's tight layout, and potential DNFs from incidents heighten uncertainty, muting odds for Piastri (9.5%) and others trailing in standings and form.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$87,652
End Date
May 10, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Mercedes teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli dominate trader consensus at 37% and 35% implied probabilities for the Miami Grand Prix driver winner, reflecting their early-season stranglehold on the championship—Antonelli leads by nine points with 72 after back-to-back victories in China and Japan, while Russell's Australia win and consistent podiums keep him close. Mercedes' superior race pace and qualifying edge, seen in Suzuka's front-row lockout, underpin the tight intra-team battle amid post-break upgrades from McLaren challenging their supremacy. The sprint format, tire degradation on Miami's tight layout, and potential DNFs from incidents heighten uncertainty, muting odds for Piastri (9.5%) and others trailing in standings and form.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$87,652
End Date
May 10, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 3, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Miami Grand Prix: Driver Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "George Russell" at 37%, followed by "Kimi Antonelli" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Miami Grand Prix: Driver Winner" has generated $87.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Miami Grand Prix: Driver Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Miami Grand Prix: Driver Winner" is "George Russell" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Miami Grand Prix: Driver Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.