Mercedes teammates Kimi Antonelli (37.5%) and George Russell (36.5%) dominate trader consensus for the Miami Grand Prix sprint winner, driven by their early-season supremacy—Antonelli leads the drivers' standings with 72 points after China and Japan victories, ahead of Russell's 63—bolstered by Mercedes' straight-line speed suiting the Miami International Autodrome. A five-week break and regulation tweaks on energy management have spurred rivals' upgrades, with McLaren's Oscar Piastri (10%) next as a credible challenger amid narrowed gaps seen in pre-event simulations. The duo's near-even implied probabilities highlight intense intra-team rivalry, sprint unpredictability from starts and clean air advantages, and potential for chaos on this street-style circuit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKimi Antonelli 37%
George Russell 36%
Pierre Gasly 14.0%
Franco Colapinto 14.0%
Kimi Antonelli
37%
George Russell
36%
Pierre Gasly
14%
Franco Colapinto
14%
Liam Lawson
14%
Arvid Lindblad
14%
Isack Hadjar
14%
Oscar Piastri
16%
Gabriel Bortoleto
11%
Oliver Bearman
10%
Nico Hulkenberg
10%
Esteban Ocon
9%
Charles Leclerc
16%
Lando Norris
15%
Lewis Hamilton
12%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
5%
Fernando Alonso
5%
Sergio Perez
5%
Valtteri Bottas
5%
Lance Stroll
5%
Alexander Albon
5%
Max Verstappen
9%
Kimi Antonelli 37%
George Russell 36%
Pierre Gasly 14.0%
Franco Colapinto 14.0%
Kimi Antonelli
37%
George Russell
36%
Pierre Gasly
14%
Franco Colapinto
14%
Liam Lawson
14%
Arvid Lindblad
14%
Isack Hadjar
14%
Oscar Piastri
16%
Gabriel Bortoleto
11%
Oliver Bearman
10%
Nico Hulkenberg
10%
Esteban Ocon
9%
Charles Leclerc
16%
Lando Norris
15%
Lewis Hamilton
12%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
5%
Fernando Alonso
5%
Sergio Perez
5%
Valtteri Bottas
5%
Lance Stroll
5%
Alexander Albon
5%
Max Verstappen
9%
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with winning the Sprint as published by the FIA. If the Sprint is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 7:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with winning the Sprint as published by the FIA. If the Sprint is canceled or does not take place, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes teammates Kimi Antonelli (37.5%) and George Russell (36.5%) dominate trader consensus for the Miami Grand Prix sprint winner, driven by their early-season supremacy—Antonelli leads the drivers' standings with 72 points after China and Japan victories, ahead of Russell's 63—bolstered by Mercedes' straight-line speed suiting the Miami International Autodrome. A five-week break and regulation tweaks on energy management have spurred rivals' upgrades, with McLaren's Oscar Piastri (10%) next as a credible challenger amid narrowed gaps seen in pre-event simulations. The duo's near-even implied probabilities highlight intense intra-team rivalry, sprint unpredictability from starts and clean air advantages, and potential for chaos on this street-style circuit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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