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Sports·Formula 1

Miami Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

icon for Miami Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
Sports·Formula 1

Miami Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

George Russell 40%

Kimi Antonelli 39%

Arvid Lindblad 29%

Oliver Bearman 26%

Polymarket
NEW

George Russell 40%

Kimi Antonelli 39%

Arvid Lindblad 29%

Oliver Bearman 26%

Polymarket
NEW

George Russell

$0 Vol.

40%

Kimi Antonelli

$0 Vol.

39%

Arvid Lindblad

$0 Vol.

29%

Oliver Bearman

$0 Vol.

26%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$0 Vol.

24%

Nico Hulkenberg

$0 Vol.

23%

Liam Lawson

$0 Vol.

23%

Pierre Gasly

$0 Vol.

22%

Esteban Ocon

$0 Vol.

21%

Franco Colapinto

$0 Vol.

21%

Oscar Piastri

$0 Vol.

18%

Charles Leclerc

$0 Vol.

18%

Lewis Hamilton

$0 Vol.

18%

Lando Norris

$0 Vol.

16%

Fernando Alonso

$10 Vol.

10%

Alexander Albon

$10 Vol.

10%

Sergio Perez

$10 Vol.

10%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$10 Vol.

10%

Valtteri Bottas

$10 Vol.

10%

Isack Hadjar

$0 Vol.

10%

Lance Stroll

$0 Vol.

10%

Max Verstappen

$0 Vol.

8%

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Trader consensus reflects a highly competitive pole position market for the Miami Grand Prix qualifying on May 2, driven by FIA-mandated 2026 regulation tweaks announced this week—reducing qualifying energy recharge from 8MJ to 7MJ, boosting super-clipping power to 350kW, and capping boost mode to curb excessive energy management and enhance safety. These unanimous changes force teams to recalibrate software and strategies ahead of Friday's practice and Sprint Qualifying, leveling the field amid Mercedes' early-season dominance with Kimi Antonelli leading the drivers' standings at 72 points after Japan. Tight bunching underscores uncertainty on the Miami International Autodrome, where recent poles have gone to multiple teams, amplifying upset potential from frontrunners like George Russell, Charles Leclerc, and Max Verstappen alongside midfield challengers adapting swiftly.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$25
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Trader consensus reflects a highly competitive pole position market for the Miami Grand Prix qualifying on May 2, driven by FIA-mandated 2026 regulation tweaks announced this week—reducing qualifying energy recharge from 8MJ to 7MJ, boosting super-clipping power to 350kW, and capping boost mode to curb excessive energy management and enhance safety. These unanimous changes force teams to recalibrate software and strategies ahead of Friday's practice and Sprint Qualifying, leveling the field amid Mercedes' early-season dominance with Kimi Antonelli leading the drivers' standings at 72 points after Japan. Tight bunching underscores uncertainty on the Miami International Autodrome, where recent poles have gone to multiple teams, amplifying upset potential from frontrunners like George Russell, Charles Leclerc, and Max Verstappen alongside midfield challengers adapting swiftly.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$25
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix, scheduled for May 1, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Miami Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "George Russell" at 40%, followed by "Kimi Antonelli" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Miami Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Miami Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Miami Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is "George Russell" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Miami Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.