Trader consensus prices all 11 constructors evenly at 49.5% implied probability for the first to score points at the Canadian Grand Prix, a Sprint weekend May 22-24 on the high-attrition Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, where frequent DNFs from the Wall of Champions, safety cars, and variable weather often shuffle the order. Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 135 points after strong starts from Antonelli and Russell, but new regulations and power units have bunched the midfield—Alpine, Haas, Red Bull, and Racing Bulls all under 20 points—while debuting Audi Revolut and Cadillac show early pace capable of survival runs. Recent races highlight how retirements among frontrunners like Ferrari elevate midfielders to early points, amplifying upset potential in Montreal's tight, low-grip layout demanding flawless tire strategy and qualifying.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAudi Revolut 50%
Ferrari 50%
Tgr Haas 50%
Mclaren Mastercard 50%
Audi Revolut
50%
Ferrari
50%
Tgr Haas
50%
Mclaren Mastercard
50%
Mercedes
50%
Red Bull
50%
Racing Bulls
50%
Alpine
49%
Aston Martin
10%
Williams
10%
Cadillac
10%
Audi Revolut 50%
Ferrari 50%
Tgr Haas 50%
Mclaren Mastercard 50%
Audi Revolut
50%
Ferrari
50%
Tgr Haas
50%
Mclaren Mastercard
50%
Mercedes
50%
Red Bull
50%
Racing Bulls
50%
Alpine
49%
Aston Martin
10%
Williams
10%
Cadillac
10%
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices all 11 constructors evenly at 49.5% implied probability for the first to score points at the Canadian Grand Prix, a Sprint weekend May 22-24 on the high-attrition Circuit Gilles Villeneuve, where frequent DNFs from the Wall of Champions, safety cars, and variable weather often shuffle the order. Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 135 points after strong starts from Antonelli and Russell, but new regulations and power units have bunched the midfield—Alpine, Haas, Red Bull, and Racing Bulls all under 20 points—while debuting Audi Revolut and Cadillac show early pace capable of survival runs. Recent races highlight how retirements among frontrunners like Ferrari elevate midfielders to early points, amplifying upset potential in Montreal's tight, low-grip layout demanding flawless tire strategy and qualifying.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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