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icon for #2 Spotify artist in April?

#2 Spotify artist in April?

icon for #2 Spotify artist in April?

#2 Spotify artist in April?

The Weeknd <1%

Taylor Swift <1%

Bruno Mars <1%

Noah Kahan <1%

Polymarket

$97,919 Vol.

The Weeknd <1%

Taylor Swift <1%

Bruno Mars <1%

Noah Kahan <1%

Polymarket

$97,919 Vol.

The Weeknd

$43,826 Vol.

1%

Taylor Swift

$3,382 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Mars

$21,772 Vol.

<1%

Noah Kahan

$9,974 Vol.

<1%

Bad Bunny

$4,823 Vol.

<1%

Kendrick Lamar

$684 Vol.

<1%

Drake

$2,258 Vol.

<1%

Billie Eilish

$2,021 Vol.

<1%

Lady Gaga

$1,321 Vol.

<1%

Kanye West

$727 Vol.

<1%

Rihanna

$4,679 Vol.

<1%

Ed Sheeran

$1,336 Vol.

<1%

Coldplay

$1,117 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on April 30, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.Bruno Mars dominates Spotify's monthly listeners at 137 million as of April 30, propelled by his record-breaking single debut "I Just Might"—2026's biggest global Spotify launch—locking in the #1 spot and slashing odds for him at #2 to 0.5%. This leaves Justin Bieber as the clear #2 frontrunner with 134 million listeners, fueled by a viral resurgence via "Beauty And A Beat (feat. Nicki Minaj)" topping daily global charts and +1 million listener gains last week. The Weeknd trails at 116 million amid declines, while Taylor Swift, Drake, and others lag further; trader consensus reflects this hierarchy, with fragmented low probabilities signaling slim upset paths absent last-minute streaming surges before the April 30 snapshot.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on April 30, 2026, 12PM ET.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.

In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
Volume
$97,919
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on April 30, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on April 30, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.Bruno Mars dominates Spotify's monthly listeners at 137 million as of April 30, propelled by his record-breaking single debut "I Just Might"—2026's biggest global Spotify launch—locking in the #1 spot and slashing odds for him at #2 to 0.5%. This leaves Justin Bieber as the clear #2 frontrunner with 134 million listeners, fueled by a viral resurgence via "Beauty And A Beat (feat. Nicki Minaj)" topping daily global charts and +1 million listener gains last week. The Weeknd trails at 116 million amid declines, while Taylor Swift, Drake, and others lag further; trader consensus reflects this hierarchy, with fragmented low probabilities signaling slim upset paths absent last-minute streaming surges before the April 30 snapshot.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on April 30, 2026, 12PM ET.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.

In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
Volume
$97,919
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on April 30, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Spotify artist in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Weeknd" at 1%, followed by "Taylor Swift" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#2 Spotify artist in April?" has generated $97.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#2 Spotify artist in April?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "#2 Spotify artist in April?" is "The Weeknd" at just 1%, with "Taylor Swift" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "#2 Spotify artist in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.