Trump’s July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act extended 2017 TCJA provisions and introduced targeted investment vehicles but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. With unified Republican control, Congress prioritized wage, overtime, and SALT adjustments over rate reductions on investment income. Fiscal pressures, including debt-ceiling negotiations and revenue needs, have limited appetite for further cuts before 2027. Traders view additional legislation as unlikely in the remaining 2026 window absent a new fiscal package, producing the current 64.5 percent probability on No.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act extended 2017 TCJA provisions and introduced targeted investment vehicles but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. With unified Republican control, Congress prioritized wage, overtime, and SALT adjustments over rate reductions on investment income. Fiscal pressures, including debt-ceiling negotiations and revenue needs, have limited appetite for further cuts before 2027. Traders view additional legislation as unlikely in the remaining 2026 window absent a new fiscal package, producing the current 64.5 percent probability on No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$1,612Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act extended 2017 TCJA provisions and introduced targeted investment vehicles but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. With unified Republican control, Congress prioritized wage, overtime, and SALT adjustments over rate reductions on investment income. Fiscal pressures, including debt-ceiling negotiations and revenue needs, have limited appetite for further cuts before 2027. Traders view additional legislation as unlikely in the remaining 2026 window absent a new fiscal package, producing the current 64.5 percent probability on No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$1,612Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act extended 2017 TCJA provisions and introduced targeted investment vehicles but left long-term capital gains rates unchanged at 0/15/20 percent. With unified Republican control, Congress prioritized wage, overtime, and SALT adjustments over rate reductions on investment income. Fiscal pressures, including debt-ceiling negotiations and revenue needs, have limited appetite for further cuts before 2027. Traders view additional legislation as unlikely in the remaining 2026 window absent a new fiscal package, producing the current 64.5 percent probability on No.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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