Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, driven by the company's unbroken 19-year history of annual September iPhone launches since 2007 and recent April 2026 supply chain leaks confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models entering late-stage production validation for a fall debut, complete with renders of new colors like Dark Cherry and under-display Face ID upgrades. Competitive pressures from Samsung and foldable rivals, plus rumors of an accompanying iPhone Fold, reinforce expectations of continued hardware iteration. Realistic challenges include a rumored skip of the base iPhone 18 until spring 2027 to prioritize Pro sales amid softening demand, potential supply disruptions, or macroeconomic headwinds delaying the event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$90,075 Vol.
$90,075 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$90,075 Vol.
$90,075 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, driven by the company's unbroken 19-year history of annual September iPhone launches since 2007 and recent April 2026 supply chain leaks confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models entering late-stage production validation for a fall debut, complete with renders of new colors like Dark Cherry and under-display Face ID upgrades. Competitive pressures from Samsung and foldable rivals, plus rumors of an accompanying iPhone Fold, reinforce expectations of continued hardware iteration. Realistic challenges include a rumored skip of the base iPhone 18 until spring 2027 to prioritize Pro sales amid softening demand, potential supply disruptions, or macroeconomic headwinds delaying the event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Volumen
$90,075Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, driven by the company's unbroken 19-year history of annual September iPhone launches since 2007 and recent April 2026 supply chain leaks confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models entering late-stage production validation for a fall debut, complete with renders of new colors like Dark Cherry and under-display Face ID upgrades. Competitive pressures from Samsung and foldable rivals, plus rumors of an accompanying iPhone Fold, reinforce expectations of continued hardware iteration. Realistic challenges include a rumored skip of the base iPhone 18 until spring 2027 to prioritize Pro sales amid softening demand, potential supply disruptions, or macroeconomic headwinds delaying the event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$90,075Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, driven by the company's unbroken 19-year history of annual September iPhone launches since 2007 and recent April 2026 supply chain leaks confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models entering late-stage production validation for a fall debut, complete with renders of new colors like Dark Cherry and under-display Face ID upgrades. Competitive pressures from Samsung and foldable rivals, plus rumors of an accompanying iPhone Fold, reinforce expectations of continued hardware iteration. Realistic challenges include a rumored skip of the base iPhone 18 until spring 2027 to prioritize Pro sales amid softening demand, potential supply disruptions, or macroeconomic headwinds delaying the event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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