Traders' overwhelming 91% implied probability on NASDAQ reflects SpaceX's confidential SEC filing earlier this month, with multiple reports specifying a Nasdaq listing for its anticipated June 2026 IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever. This consensus aligns with precedent from Elon Musk's Tesla, already on Nasdaq, and the exchange's tech-centric ecosystem suited to SpaceX's rocket launches, Starlink satellite constellation, and NASA contracts. Nasdaq's recent rule tweaks for early Nasdaq-100 inclusion in mega-IPOs further incentivize the choice, backed by skin-in-the-game trader capital. Realistic challenges include superior NYSE terms, regulatory hurdles delaying the timeline, or a pivot to direct listing or other venues amid market volatility, with roadshow details expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNASDAQ 91%
Otro 6.8%
Bolsa de Nueva York 1.5%
$94,178 Vol.
$94,178 Vol.
NASDAQ
91%
Otro
7%
Bolsa de Nueva York
2%
NASDAQ 91%
Otro 6.8%
Bolsa de Nueva York 1.5%
$94,178 Vol.
$94,178 Vol.
NASDAQ
$18,047 Vol.
91%
Otro
$57,582 Vol.
7%
Bolsa de Nueva York
$18,549 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' overwhelming 91% implied probability on NASDAQ reflects SpaceX's confidential SEC filing earlier this month, with multiple reports specifying a Nasdaq listing for its anticipated June 2026 IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever. This consensus aligns with precedent from Elon Musk's Tesla, already on Nasdaq, and the exchange's tech-centric ecosystem suited to SpaceX's rocket launches, Starlink satellite constellation, and NASA contracts. Nasdaq's recent rule tweaks for early Nasdaq-100 inclusion in mega-IPOs further incentivize the choice, backed by skin-in-the-game trader capital. Realistic challenges include superior NYSE terms, regulatory hurdles delaying the timeline, or a pivot to direct listing or other venues amid market volatility, with roadshow details expected soon.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volumen
$94,178Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' overwhelming 91% implied probability on NASDAQ reflects SpaceX's confidential SEC filing earlier this month, with multiple reports specifying a Nasdaq listing for its anticipated June 2026 IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever. This consensus aligns with precedent from Elon Musk's Tesla, already on Nasdaq, and the exchange's tech-centric ecosystem suited to SpaceX's rocket launches, Starlink satellite constellation, and NASA contracts. Nasdaq's recent rule tweaks for early Nasdaq-100 inclusion in mega-IPOs further incentivize the choice, backed by skin-in-the-game trader capital. Realistic challenges include superior NYSE terms, regulatory hurdles delaying the timeline, or a pivot to direct listing or other venues amid market volatility, with roadshow details expected soon.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$94,178Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' overwhelming 91% implied probability on NASDAQ reflects SpaceX's confidential SEC filing earlier this month, with multiple reports specifying a Nasdaq listing for its anticipated June 2026 IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever. This consensus aligns with precedent from Elon Musk's Tesla, already on Nasdaq, and the exchange's tech-centric ecosystem suited to SpaceX's rocket launches, Starlink satellite constellation, and NASA contracts. Nasdaq's recent rule tweaks for early Nasdaq-100 inclusion in mega-IPOs further incentivize the choice, backed by skin-in-the-game trader capital. Realistic challenges include superior NYSE terms, regulatory hurdles delaying the timeline, or a pivot to direct listing or other venues amid market volatility, with roadshow details expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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