President Donald Trump's Truth Social activity this week is heavily shaped by escalating US-Iran tensions, including his blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and repeated ultimatums demanding a deal or face imminent military strikes, as seen in recent posts warning of "all Hell" within 48 hours. Spiking US gas prices to 2022 highs and an upcoming CENTCOM briefing on Iran operations, alongside a planned Oval Office news conference with military leaders, heighten the odds of posts on foreign policy, sanctions, or military prowess. The ongoing state visit by King Charles III and Queen Camilla through April 30 may draw ceremonial remarks, while broader 2026 midterm dynamics could prompt polling shares or endorsements if domestic news breaks. Traders monitor these catalysts against Trump's pattern of real-time crisis commentary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHell
50%
I love King / I love the King
52%
Make Iran Great Again / MIGA
32%
Franklin Graham
49%
POTUS
63%
Trust Trump / Trust in Trump
51%
TrumpRX
50%
Prince Harry
50%
UFO
48%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
32%
Third rate
50%
Free Tina Peters
37%
Triumphal Arc / Triumphal Arch
50%
Crypto / Bitcoin
26%
Landslide
45%
Midterm
78%
Prosecute / Prosecution
52%
Hoax / Scam
48%
Blockade
40%
Ammo / Ammunition
50%
Elon / Musk
52%
$2,251 Vol.
Hell
50%
I love King / I love the King
52%
Make Iran Great Again / MIGA
32%
Franklin Graham
49%
POTUS
63%
Trust Trump / Trust in Trump
51%
TrumpRX
50%
Prince Harry
50%
UFO
48%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
32%
Third rate
50%
Free Tina Peters
37%
Triumphal Arc / Triumphal Arch
50%
Crypto / Bitcoin
26%
Landslide
45%
Midterm
78%
Prosecute / Prosecution
52%
Hoax / Scam
48%
Blockade
40%
Ammo / Ammunition
50%
Elon / Musk
52%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's Truth Social activity this week is heavily shaped by escalating US-Iran tensions, including his blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and repeated ultimatums demanding a deal or face imminent military strikes, as seen in recent posts warning of "all Hell" within 48 hours. Spiking US gas prices to 2022 highs and an upcoming CENTCOM briefing on Iran operations, alongside a planned Oval Office news conference with military leaders, heighten the odds of posts on foreign policy, sanctions, or military prowess. The ongoing state visit by King Charles III and Queen Camilla through April 30 may draw ceremonial remarks, while broader 2026 midterm dynamics could prompt polling shares or endorsements if domestic news breaks. Traders monitor these catalysts against Trump's pattern of real-time crisis commentary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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