US military tensions with Venezuela peaked on January 3, 2026, when special forces executed Operation Absolute Resolve—a limited raid in Caracas capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, facilitating Delcy Rodríguez's ascent as acting president. Recent de-escalation culminated in the US lifting sanctions on Rodríguez on April 1, alongside reports of an active US embassy convoy and escorted presence in the capital, boosting Venezuelan oil exports to America. Absent new escalatory signals, diplomatic normalization and stabilized bilateral ties dominate trader sentiment, with no scheduled summits or military deadlines in the near term to prompt renewed US troop entry.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,283,190 Vol.
31 ene 2026
30 de junio
12%
$1,283,190 Vol.
30 de junio
$198,427 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military tensions with Venezuela peaked on January 3, 2026, when special forces executed Operation Absolute Resolve—a limited raid in Caracas capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, facilitating Delcy Rodríguez's ascent as acting president. Recent de-escalation culminated in the US lifting sanctions on Rodríguez on April 1, alongside reports of an active US embassy convoy and escorted presence in the capital, boosting Venezuelan oil exports to America. Absent new escalatory signals, diplomatic normalization and stabilized bilateral ties dominate trader sentiment, with no scheduled summits or military deadlines in the near term to prompt renewed US troop entry.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volumen
$1,283,190Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military tensions with Venezuela peaked on January 3, 2026, when special forces executed Operation Absolute Resolve—a limited raid in Caracas capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, facilitating Delcy Rodríguez's ascent as acting president. Recent de-escalation culminated in the US lifting sanctions on Rodríguez on April 1, alongside reports of an active US embassy convoy and escorted presence in the capital, boosting Venezuelan oil exports to America. Absent new escalatory signals, diplomatic normalization and stabilized bilateral ties dominate trader sentiment, with no scheduled summits or military deadlines in the near term to prompt renewed US troop entry.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,283,190Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military tensions with Venezuela peaked on January 3, 2026, when special forces executed Operation Absolute Resolve—a limited raid in Caracas capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, facilitating Delcy Rodríguez's ascent as acting president. Recent de-escalation culminated in the US lifting sanctions on Rodríguez on April 1, alongside reports of an active US embassy convoy and escorted presence in the capital, boosting Venezuelan oil exports to America. Absent new escalatory signals, diplomatic normalization and stabilized bilateral ties dominate trader sentiment, with no scheduled summits or military deadlines in the near term to prompt renewed US troop entry.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes