SpaceX's confidential S-1 IPO filing on April 1, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise, has driven trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 36% implied probability, closely trailed by 2.0T-2.5T at 26%. This premium reflects Starlink's satellite constellation expansion to 20,000+ units annually via Starship reusability, alongside successful V3 booster tests boosting launch cadence. A prior $800 billion tender offer in early 2026 set a private market floor, while April 21 analyst briefings affirmed Elon Musk's post-IPO voting control and multi-planetary ambitions. Upcoming roadshows and a potential June listing loom, though FAA regulatory delays or volatile public markets could pressure final pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,915,553 Vol.
$1,915,553 Vol.
<1,0T
6%
1,0T-1,5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
36%
2.0T-2.5T
26%
2.5T-3.0T
15%
3.0T-3.5T
4%
3,5T+
1%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
3%
$1,915,553 Vol.
$1,915,553 Vol.
<1,0T
$69,279 Vol.
6%
1,0T-1,5T
$56,363 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$61,351 Vol.
36%
2.0T-2.5T
$91,257 Vol.
26%
2.5T-3.0T
$811,556 Vol.
15%
3.0T-3.5T
$482,469 Vol.
4%
3,5T+
$65,882 Vol.
1%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
$277,394 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential S-1 IPO filing on April 1, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise, has driven trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 36% implied probability, closely trailed by 2.0T-2.5T at 26%. This premium reflects Starlink's satellite constellation expansion to 20,000+ units annually via Starship reusability, alongside successful V3 booster tests boosting launch cadence. A prior $800 billion tender offer in early 2026 set a private market floor, while April 21 analyst briefings affirmed Elon Musk's post-IPO voting control and multi-planetary ambitions. Upcoming roadshows and a potential June listing loom, though FAA regulatory delays or volatile public markets could pressure final pricing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volumen
$1,915,553Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential S-1 IPO filing on April 1, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise, has driven trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 36% implied probability, closely trailed by 2.0T-2.5T at 26%. This premium reflects Starlink's satellite constellation expansion to 20,000+ units annually via Starship reusability, alongside successful V3 booster tests boosting launch cadence. A prior $800 billion tender offer in early 2026 set a private market floor, while April 21 analyst briefings affirmed Elon Musk's post-IPO voting control and multi-planetary ambitions. Upcoming roadshows and a potential June listing loom, though FAA regulatory delays or volatile public markets could pressure final pricing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,915,553Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's confidential S-1 IPO filing on April 1, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and up to $75 billion raise, has driven trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 36% implied probability, closely trailed by 2.0T-2.5T at 26%. This premium reflects Starlink's satellite constellation expansion to 20,000+ units annually via Starship reusability, alongside successful V3 booster tests boosting launch cadence. A prior $800 billion tender offer in early 2026 set a private market floor, while April 21 analyst briefings affirmed Elon Musk's post-IPO voting control and multi-planetary ambitions. Upcoming roadshows and a potential June listing loom, though FAA regulatory delays or volatile public markets could pressure final pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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