Trader consensus heavily favors no Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts and persistent frontline hostilities despite fleeting truces. A brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire in mid-April collapsed amid mutual violation accusations, underscoring deep mistrust, while Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated on April 18 Moscow is in no rush for broader peace talks. Recent U.S. President Trump's April 29 call with Putin proposed only a temporary May 9 Victory Day pause, not a durable halt, as Zelenskyy seeks clarification. ISW assessments through April 29 highlight Ukraine blunting Russia's spring offensive, stabilizing the front and entrenching positions, with no verified breakthroughs in Geneva talks amid unresolved territorial disputes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Un alto el fuego entre Rusia y Ucrania para el 30 de junio de 2026?
¿Un alto el fuego entre Rusia y Ucrania para el 30 de junio de 2026?
Sí
$7,606,507 Vol.
$7,606,507 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$7,606,507 Vol.
$7,606,507 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors no Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts and persistent frontline hostilities despite fleeting truces. A brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire in mid-April collapsed amid mutual violation accusations, underscoring deep mistrust, while Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated on April 18 Moscow is in no rush for broader peace talks. Recent U.S. President Trump's April 29 call with Putin proposed only a temporary May 9 Victory Day pause, not a durable halt, as Zelenskyy seeks clarification. ISW assessments through April 29 highlight Ukraine blunting Russia's spring offensive, stabilizing the front and entrenching positions, with no verified breakthroughs in Geneva talks amid unresolved territorial disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Jan 13, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Volumen
$7,606,507Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 13, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors no Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts and persistent frontline hostilities despite fleeting truces. A brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire in mid-April collapsed amid mutual violation accusations, underscoring deep mistrust, while Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated on April 18 Moscow is in no rush for broader peace talks. Recent U.S. President Trump's April 29 call with Putin proposed only a temporary May 9 Victory Day pause, not a durable halt, as Zelenskyy seeks clarification. ISW assessments through April 29 highlight Ukraine blunting Russia's spring offensive, stabilizing the front and entrenching positions, with no verified breakthroughs in Geneva talks amid unresolved territorial disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Volumen
$7,620,091Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 13, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts and persistent frontline hostilities despite fleeting truces. A brief 32-hour Orthodox Easter ceasefire in mid-April collapsed amid mutual violation accusations, underscoring deep mistrust, while Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated on April 18 Moscow is in no rush for broader peace talks. Recent U.S. President Trump's April 29 call with Putin proposed only a temporary May 9 Victory Day pause, not a durable halt, as Zelenskyy seeks clarification. ISW assessments through April 29 highlight Ukraine blunting Russia's spring offensive, stabilizing the front and entrenching positions, with no verified breakthroughs in Geneva talks amid unresolved territorial disputes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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