Traders see the closest odds between 1–1.5 inches and 2–2.5 inches of total June precipitation in Seattle because roughly 1.2 inches have already fallen through mid-month, leaving limited room for further accumulation under a drier forecast. NOAA and regional outlooks highlight warmer, drier-than-normal conditions tied to the strengthening El Niño transition and persistent high pressure that suppresses Pacific storm tracks. Model consensus points to mostly sunny, stable weather from June 17–23, with only isolated showers possible late in the month, keeping additional rainfall modest. Historical June normals hover near 1.5 inches, so the current trajectory favors totals clustering in the 1.5–2.5-inch range absent an unexpected late-month marine push or frontal system.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrecipitation in Seattle in June?
1.5-2" 49%
>3" 44%
1-1.5" 43%
2-2.5" 27%
1.5-2"
27%
>3"
26%
1-1.5"
33%
2-2.5"
38%
2.5-3"
24%
<0.5"
7%
0.5-1"
<1%
1.5-2" 49%
>3" 44%
1-1.5" 43%
2-2.5" 27%
1.5-2"
27%
>3"
26%
1-1.5"
33%
2-2.5"
38%
2.5-3"
24%
<0.5"
7%
0.5-1"
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the closest odds between 1–1.5 inches and 2–2.5 inches of total June precipitation in Seattle because roughly 1.2 inches have already fallen through mid-month, leaving limited room for further accumulation under a drier forecast. NOAA and regional outlooks highlight warmer, drier-than-normal conditions tied to the strengthening El Niño transition and persistent high pressure that suppresses Pacific storm tracks. Model consensus points to mostly sunny, stable weather from June 17–23, with only isolated showers possible late in the month, keeping additional rainfall modest. Historical June normals hover near 1.5 inches, so the current trajectory favors totals clustering in the 1.5–2.5-inch range absent an unexpected late-month marine push or frontal system.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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