With only about 0.5 inches recorded through mid-June against a Central Park climatological average near 4.5 inches, trader sentiment clusters around 3–4 inches and lower bins because the remaining 16 days must deliver well above normal rainfall to reach the middle outcome. June’s typical convective regime—driven by warm, humid southerly flow and frequent afternoon thunderstorms—offers the main pathway for recovery, yet model consensus currently favors only moderate totals amid variable steering patterns and limited organized systems. Differentiation among bins hinges on whether late-month moisture transport strengthens enough for multiple heavy events (pushing toward 4+ inches) or stays suppressed by drier mid-level air, keeping totals below 3 inches. Historical June variability, with totals spanning less than 2 to over 7 inches, underscores this uncertainty ahead of updated National Weather Service forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrecipitation in NYC in June?
Precipitation in NYC in June?
3-4" 54%
4-5" 43%
<2" 32%
>6" 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<2"
32%
2-3"
29%
3-4"
37%
4-5"
26%
5-6"
13%
>6"
16%
3-4" 54%
4-5" 43%
<2" 32%
>6" 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<2"
$239 Vol.
32%
2-3"
$92 Vol.
29%
3-4"
$103 Vol.
37%
4-5"
$86 Vol.
26%
5-6"
$137 Vol.
13%
>6"
$252 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only about 0.5 inches recorded through mid-June against a Central Park climatological average near 4.5 inches, trader sentiment clusters around 3–4 inches and lower bins because the remaining 16 days must deliver well above normal rainfall to reach the middle outcome. June’s typical convective regime—driven by warm, humid southerly flow and frequent afternoon thunderstorms—offers the main pathway for recovery, yet model consensus currently favors only moderate totals amid variable steering patterns and limited organized systems. Differentiation among bins hinges on whether late-month moisture transport strengthens enough for multiple heavy events (pushing toward 4+ inches) or stays suppressed by drier mid-level air, keeping totals below 3 inches. Historical June variability, with totals spanning less than 2 to over 7 inches, underscores this uncertainty ahead of updated National Weather Service forecasts.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$908Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only about 0.5 inches recorded through mid-June against a Central Park climatological average near 4.5 inches, trader sentiment clusters around 3–4 inches and lower bins because the remaining 16 days must deliver well above normal rainfall to reach the middle outcome. June’s typical convective regime—driven by warm, humid southerly flow and frequent afternoon thunderstorms—offers the main pathway for recovery, yet model consensus currently favors only moderate totals amid variable steering patterns and limited organized systems. Differentiation among bins hinges on whether late-month moisture transport strengthens enough for multiple heavy events (pushing toward 4+ inches) or stays suppressed by drier mid-level air, keeping totals below 3 inches. Historical June variability, with totals spanning less than 2 to over 7 inches, underscores this uncertainty ahead of updated National Weather Service forecasts.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$908Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With only about 0.5 inches recorded through mid-June against a Central Park climatological average near 4.5 inches, trader sentiment clusters around 3–4 inches and lower bins because the remaining 16 days must deliver well above normal rainfall to reach the middle outcome. June’s typical convective regime—driven by warm, humid southerly flow and frequent afternoon thunderstorms—offers the main pathway for recovery, yet model consensus currently favors only moderate totals amid variable steering patterns and limited organized systems. Differentiation among bins hinges on whether late-month moisture transport strengthens enough for multiple heavy events (pushing toward 4+ inches) or stays suppressed by drier mid-level air, keeping totals below 3 inches. Historical June variability, with totals spanning less than 2 to over 7 inches, underscores this uncertainty ahead of updated National Weather Service forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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