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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Michigan

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Michigan
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Michigan

Jocelyn Benson 95%

Chris Swanson 2.5%

Garlin Gilchrist 1.1%

Marni Sawicki <1%

Polymarket

$12,598 Vol.

Jocelyn Benson 95%

Chris Swanson 2.5%

Garlin Gilchrist 1.1%

Marni Sawicki <1%

Polymarket

$12,598 Vol.

Jocelyn Benson

$8,353 Vol.

95%

Chris Swanson

$1,511 Vol.

3%

Garlin Gilchrist

$1,564 Vol.

1%

Marni Sawicki

$1,170 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson commands trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability to win the Democratic primary for governor on August 4, 2026, driven by recent Emerson College polling from April 16 showing her at 52% support among primary voters—far ahead of rivals—bolstered by her statewide victories, early campaign launch in January 2025, and fundraising dominance reported in February 2026. Lieutenant Governor Garlin Gilchrist's January withdrawal to pursue secretary of state further cleared her path, leaving challengers like Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson with minimal traction. While her commanding lead reflects strong name recognition and party establishment backing in this open-seat race succeeding term-limited Governor Gretchen Whitmer, scenarios like a high-profile late entrant, damaging scandal, or unexpected endorsement shifts could narrow the field before absentee ballots and early voting ramp up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$12,598
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson commands trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability to win the Democratic primary for governor on August 4, 2026, driven by recent Emerson College polling from April 16 showing her at 52% support among primary voters—far ahead of rivals—bolstered by her statewide victories, early campaign launch in January 2025, and fundraising dominance reported in February 2026. Lieutenant Governor Garlin Gilchrist's January withdrawal to pursue secretary of state further cleared her path, leaving challengers like Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson with minimal traction. While her commanding lead reflects strong name recognition and party establishment backing in this open-seat race succeeding term-limited Governor Gretchen Whitmer, scenarios like a high-profile late entrant, damaging scandal, or unexpected endorsement shifts could narrow the field before absentee ballots and early voting ramp up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$12,598
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Michigan" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jocelyn Benson" con 95%, seguido de "Chris Swanson" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 95¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Michigan" ha generado $12.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 10, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Michigan", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Michigan" es "Jocelyn Benson" con 95%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Chris Swanson" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del gobernador de Michigan" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.