California's redrawn 3rd Congressional District, reshaped by voter-approved Proposition 50 in November 2025 to favor Democrats with a D+6 partisan index and Kamala Harris's 10-point 2024 win, hosts a competitive top-two primary on June 2, 2026, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. Incumbent Rep. Kevin Kiley is not running in the new suburban Sacramento-area seat, clearing the field for four Democrats—Ami Bera (the fundraising leader with $1.9 million cash on hand), Heidi Hall, Chris Bennett, and Lyndon Cervantes—against Republicans Christine Bish, Robb Tucker, and Laura Koscki, plus Green Chris Richardson. Recent Sacramento Bee endorsement of Bera bolsters his frontrunner status amid limited polling; early voting begins May 4, with voter registration closing May 18. Cook Political rates it Likely Democratic, reflecting the district's leftward shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-03 Primary Winners
CA-03 Primary Winners
NUEVO
2 jun 2026
Ami Bera
95%
Robb Tucker
64%
Chris Bennett
37%
Heidi Hall
16%
Christine Bish
14%
Laura Koscki
7%
Chris Richardson
6%
Lyndon Cervantes
4%
$3,982 Vol.
Ami Bera
$346 Vol.
95%
Robb Tucker
$1,948 Vol.
64%
Chris Bennett
$90 Vol.
37%
Heidi Hall
$452 Vol.
16%
Christine Bish
$1,125 Vol.
14%
Laura Koscki
$21 Vol.
7%
Chris Richardson
$0 Vol.
6%
Lyndon Cervantes
$0 Vol.
4%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's redrawn 3rd Congressional District, reshaped by voter-approved Proposition 50 in November 2025 to favor Democrats with a D+6 partisan index and Kamala Harris's 10-point 2024 win, hosts a competitive top-two primary on June 2, 2026, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. Incumbent Rep. Kevin Kiley is not running in the new suburban Sacramento-area seat, clearing the field for four Democrats—Ami Bera (the fundraising leader with $1.9 million cash on hand), Heidi Hall, Chris Bennett, and Lyndon Cervantes—against Republicans Christine Bish, Robb Tucker, and Laura Koscki, plus Green Chris Richardson. Recent Sacramento Bee endorsement of Bera bolsters his frontrunner status amid limited polling; early voting begins May 4, with voter registration closing May 18. Cook Political rates it Likely Democratic, reflecting the district's leftward shift.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Volumen
$3,982Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's redrawn 3rd Congressional District, reshaped by voter-approved Proposition 50 in November 2025 to favor Democrats with a D+6 partisan index and Kamala Harris's 10-point 2024 win, hosts a competitive top-two primary on June 2, 2026, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. Incumbent Rep. Kevin Kiley is not running in the new suburban Sacramento-area seat, clearing the field for four Democrats—Ami Bera (the fundraising leader with $1.9 million cash on hand), Heidi Hall, Chris Bennett, and Lyndon Cervantes—against Republicans Christine Bish, Robb Tucker, and Laura Koscki, plus Green Chris Richardson. Recent Sacramento Bee endorsement of Bera bolsters his frontrunner status amid limited polling; early voting begins May 4, with voter registration closing May 18. Cook Political rates it Likely Democratic, reflecting the district's leftward shift.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$3,982Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California's redrawn 3rd Congressional District, reshaped by voter-approved Proposition 50 in November 2025 to favor Democrats with a D+6 partisan index and Kamala Harris's 10-point 2024 win, hosts a competitive top-two primary on June 2, 2026, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party. Incumbent Rep. Kevin Kiley is not running in the new suburban Sacramento-area seat, clearing the field for four Democrats—Ami Bera (the fundraising leader with $1.9 million cash on hand), Heidi Hall, Chris Bennett, and Lyndon Cervantes—against Republicans Christine Bish, Robb Tucker, and Laura Koscki, plus Green Chris Richardson. Recent Sacramento Bee endorsement of Bera bolsters his frontrunner status amid limited polling; early voting begins May 4, with voter registration closing May 18. Cook Political rates it Likely Democratic, reflecting the district's leftward shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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