With Ohio's Republican gubernatorial primary set for May 5, trader consensus prices Ramaswamy's victory margins tightly around even money across 30-70% ranges, reflecting deep uncertainty despite mid-April BGSU polling showing his 76% to challengers' 12% each—a 64-point lead. No fresh polls have emerged in the past three weeks, amplifying volatility as late-campaign headwinds surface: challenger Casey Putsch gains traction criticizing Ramaswamy as an outsider despite Trump and state GOP endorsements, targeting turnout-sensitive conservative voters in rural swing counties. Final endorsements, debate clips, or absentee trends could widen gaps, with low primary turnout potentially compressing margins toward 50-60% if anti-establishment skeptics stay home.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOhio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
Ramaswamy 70%+ 56%
Other 48%
Ramaswamy 60-70% 44%
Ramaswamy 50-60% 39%
$1 Vol.
$1 Vol.
5 may 2026
Ramaswamy <30%
28%
Ramaswamy 30-40%
34%
Ramaswamy 40-50%
34%
Ramaswamy 50-60%
39%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
44%
Ramaswamy 70%+
56%
Other
48%
Ramaswamy 70%+ 56%
Other 48%
Ramaswamy 60-70% 44%
Ramaswamy 50-60% 39%
$1 Vol.
$1 Vol.
5 may 2026
Ramaswamy <30%
$0 Vol.
28%
Ramaswamy 30-40%
$0 Vol.
34%
Ramaswamy 40-50%
$0 Vol.
34%
Ramaswamy 50-60%
$0 Vol.
39%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
$1 Vol.
44%
Ramaswamy 70%+
$0 Vol.
56%
Other
$0 Vol.
48%
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.With Ohio's Republican gubernatorial primary set for May 5, trader consensus prices Ramaswamy's victory margins tightly around even money across 30-70% ranges, reflecting deep uncertainty despite mid-April BGSU polling showing his 76% to challengers' 12% each—a 64-point lead. No fresh polls have emerged in the past three weeks, amplifying volatility as late-campaign headwinds surface: challenger Casey Putsch gains traction criticizing Ramaswamy as an outsider despite Trump and state GOP endorsements, targeting turnout-sensitive conservative voters in rural swing counties. Final endorsements, debate clips, or absentee trends could widen gaps, with low primary turnout potentially compressing margins toward 50-60% if anti-establishment skeptics stay home.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Volumen
$1Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.With Ohio's Republican gubernatorial primary set for May 5, trader consensus prices Ramaswamy's victory margins tightly around even money across 30-70% ranges, reflecting deep uncertainty despite mid-April BGSU polling showing his 76% to challengers' 12% each—a 64-point lead. No fresh polls have emerged in the past three weeks, amplifying volatility as late-campaign headwinds surface: challenger Casey Putsch gains traction criticizing Ramaswamy as an outsider despite Trump and state GOP endorsements, targeting turnout-sensitive conservative voters in rural swing counties. Final endorsements, debate clips, or absentee trends could widen gaps, with low primary turnout potentially compressing margins toward 50-60% if anti-establishment skeptics stay home.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$1Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With Ohio's Republican gubernatorial primary set for May 5, trader consensus prices Ramaswamy's victory margins tightly around even money across 30-70% ranges, reflecting deep uncertainty despite mid-April BGSU polling showing his 76% to challengers' 12% each—a 64-point lead. No fresh polls have emerged in the past three weeks, amplifying volatility as late-campaign headwinds surface: challenger Casey Putsch gains traction criticizing Ramaswamy as an outsider despite Trump and state GOP endorsements, targeting turnout-sensitive conservative voters in rural swing counties. Final endorsements, debate clips, or absentee trends could widen gaps, with low primary turnout potentially compressing margins toward 50-60% if anti-establishment skeptics stay home.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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