March 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the steepest since May 2024—propelled by a 21.2% gasoline spike and 10.9% energy index rise amid Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, reversing February's 2.4% moderation and fueling trader bets on a higher 2026 peak. Polymarket's aggregated sentiment, backed by over $800,000 in volume, prices elevated CPI probabilities reflecting persistent oil volatility and prospective tariff effects under the current administration. Federal Reserve's March dot plot targets 2.7% PCE inflation by year-end with fed funds steady at 3.5%-3.75%, yet analysts flag upside risks beyond 4%. Key catalysts ahead: April CPI release on May 12 and May 6-7 FOMC meeting, with Cleveland Fed nowcasting 0.45% month-over-month for April.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$822,687 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Por encima del 3,5%
94%
Por encima del 4%
64%
Por encima del 5%
30%
Por encima del 6%
15%
Por encima del 8%
7%
Por encima del 10%
4%
$822,687 Vol.
Por encima del 3,5%
$158,450 Vol.
94%
Por encima del 4%
$190,350 Vol.
64%
Por encima del 5%
$92,215 Vol.
30%
Por encima del 6%
$31,796 Vol.
15%
Por encima del 8%
$34,854 Vol.
7%
Por encima del 10%
$34,977 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.March 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the steepest since May 2024—propelled by a 21.2% gasoline spike and 10.9% energy index rise amid Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, reversing February's 2.4% moderation and fueling trader bets on a higher 2026 peak. Polymarket's aggregated sentiment, backed by over $800,000 in volume, prices elevated CPI probabilities reflecting persistent oil volatility and prospective tariff effects under the current administration. Federal Reserve's March dot plot targets 2.7% PCE inflation by year-end with fed funds steady at 3.5%-3.75%, yet analysts flag upside risks beyond 4%. Key catalysts ahead: April CPI release on May 12 and May 6-7 FOMC meeting, with Cleveland Fed nowcasting 0.45% month-over-month for April.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volumen
$822,687Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.March 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the steepest since May 2024—propelled by a 21.2% gasoline spike and 10.9% energy index rise amid Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, reversing February's 2.4% moderation and fueling trader bets on a higher 2026 peak. Polymarket's aggregated sentiment, backed by over $800,000 in volume, prices elevated CPI probabilities reflecting persistent oil volatility and prospective tariff effects under the current administration. Federal Reserve's March dot plot targets 2.7% PCE inflation by year-end with fed funds steady at 3.5%-3.75%, yet analysts flag upside risks beyond 4%. Key catalysts ahead: April CPI release on May 12 and May 6-7 FOMC meeting, with Cleveland Fed nowcasting 0.45% month-over-month for April.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$822,687Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...March 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 3.3% year-over-year—the steepest since May 2024—propelled by a 21.2% gasoline spike and 10.9% energy index rise amid Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict, reversing February's 2.4% moderation and fueling trader bets on a higher 2026 peak. Polymarket's aggregated sentiment, backed by over $800,000 in volume, prices elevated CPI probabilities reflecting persistent oil volatility and prospective tariff effects under the current administration. Federal Reserve's March dot plot targets 2.7% PCE inflation by year-end with fed funds steady at 3.5%-3.75%, yet analysts flag upside risks beyond 4%. Key catalysts ahead: April CPI release on May 12 and May 6-7 FOMC meeting, with Cleveland Fed nowcasting 0.45% month-over-month for April.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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