**Warm anticyclonic conditions over northern France are driving trader expectations toward a daily high of 28–29 °C in Paris on June 15.** Persistent high pressure is maintaining mostly sunny skies following peak readings near 30–31 °C on June 14, with Météo-France guidance indicating maxima around 26–27 °C—slightly above the seasonal normal. Ensemble model spreads and the recent warmth have pushed market-implied odds highest for 28 °C (52 %) and 29 °C (32.5 %), reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud development or minor cooling from northerly flow. Official resolution relies on the Paris-Montsouris station maximum; any late model consensus shift toward stronger mixing or increased low cloud could quickly reprice the contract toward the lower-probability 27 °C bin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 15?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 15?
28°C 53%
29°C 33%
27°C 10%
30°C 5.2%
NUEVO
$21,864 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,864 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
53%
29°C
33%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 53%
29°C 33%
27°C 10%
30°C 5.2%
NUEVO
$21,864 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,864 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
$502 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,019 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,083 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,707 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,483 Vol.
2%
27°C
$2,072 Vol.
10%
28°C
$2,154 Vol.
53%
29°C
$1,753 Vol.
33%
30°C
$1,901 Vol.
5%
31°C
$1,881 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$425 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Warm anticyclonic conditions over northern France are driving trader expectations toward a daily high of 28–29 °C in Paris on June 15.** Persistent high pressure is maintaining mostly sunny skies following peak readings near 30–31 °C on June 14, with Météo-France guidance indicating maxima around 26–27 °C—slightly above the seasonal normal. Ensemble model spreads and the recent warmth have pushed market-implied odds highest for 28 °C (52 %) and 29 °C (32.5 %), reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud development or minor cooling from northerly flow. Official resolution relies on the Paris-Montsouris station maximum; any late model consensus shift toward stronger mixing or increased low cloud could quickly reprice the contract toward the lower-probability 27 °C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$21,864Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Warm anticyclonic conditions over northern France are driving trader expectations toward a daily high of 28–29 °C in Paris on June 15.** Persistent high pressure is maintaining mostly sunny skies following peak readings near 30–31 °C on June 14, with Météo-France guidance indicating maxima around 26–27 °C—slightly above the seasonal normal. Ensemble model spreads and the recent warmth have pushed market-implied odds highest for 28 °C (52 %) and 29 °C (32.5 %), reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud development or minor cooling from northerly flow. Official resolution relies on the Paris-Montsouris station maximum; any late model consensus shift toward stronger mixing or increased low cloud could quickly reprice the contract toward the lower-probability 27 °C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,864Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Warm anticyclonic conditions over northern France are driving trader expectations toward a daily high of 28–29 °C in Paris on June 15.** Persistent high pressure is maintaining mostly sunny skies following peak readings near 30–31 °C on June 14, with Météo-France guidance indicating maxima around 26–27 °C—slightly above the seasonal normal. Ensemble model spreads and the recent warmth have pushed market-implied odds highest for 28 °C (52 %) and 29 °C (32.5 %), reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud development or minor cooling from northerly flow. Official resolution relies on the Paris-Montsouris station maximum; any late model consensus shift toward stronger mixing or increased low cloud could quickly reprice the contract toward the lower-probability 27 °C bin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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