Current numerical weather models from sources like the UK Met Office and BBC forecast a Madrid maximum of 31°C on June 15, 2026, with some ensemble members reaching 32°C, directly supporting the near-even market split. A stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, light westerly flow, and peak June insolation under mostly clear skies drive the expected warmth, while minor differences in model handling of boundary-layer mixing or any weak moisture return create the tight 31–32°C spread. Official observations will come from AEMET stations, with resolution hinging on the single highest verified reading amid typical urban heat-island variability of 1–2°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
32°C 41%
31°C 37%
33°C 11.6%
30°C 6%
NUEVO
$17,626 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,626 Vol.
15 jun 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
37%
32°C
41%
33°C
12%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 37%
33°C 11.6%
30°C 6%
NUEVO
$17,626 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,626 Vol.
15 jun 2026
27°C or below
$414 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,627 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,968 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2,233 Vol.
6%
31°C
$1,538 Vol.
37%
32°C
$1,979 Vol.
41%
33°C
$2,453 Vol.
12%
34°C
$3,319 Vol.
5%
35°C
$1,956 Vol.
2%
36°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$706 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from sources like the UK Met Office and BBC forecast a Madrid maximum of 31°C on June 15, 2026, with some ensemble members reaching 32°C, directly supporting the near-even market split. A stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, light westerly flow, and peak June insolation under mostly clear skies drive the expected warmth, while minor differences in model handling of boundary-layer mixing or any weak moisture return create the tight 31–32°C spread. Official observations will come from AEMET stations, with resolution hinging on the single highest verified reading amid typical urban heat-island variability of 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$17,626Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from sources like the UK Met Office and BBC forecast a Madrid maximum of 31°C on June 15, 2026, with some ensemble members reaching 32°C, directly supporting the near-even market split. A stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, light westerly flow, and peak June insolation under mostly clear skies drive the expected warmth, while minor differences in model handling of boundary-layer mixing or any weak moisture return create the tight 31–32°C spread. Official observations will come from AEMET stations, with resolution hinging on the single highest verified reading amid typical urban heat-island variability of 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$17,626Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from sources like the UK Met Office and BBC forecast a Madrid maximum of 31°C on June 15, 2026, with some ensemble members reaching 32°C, directly supporting the near-even market split. A stable subtropical high-pressure ridge, light westerly flow, and peak June insolation under mostly clear skies drive the expected warmth, while minor differences in model handling of boundary-layer mixing or any weak moisture return create the tight 31–32°C spread. Official observations will come from AEMET stations, with resolution hinging on the single highest verified reading amid typical urban heat-island variability of 1–2°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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