Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5% for Eric Swalwell facing charges by May 31, reflecting the early stage of recent investigations into sexual assault allegations from multiple women that surfaced in early April 2026. The DOJ and Manhattan District Attorney opened probes mid-month—one incident allegedly occurring in New York—prompting Swalwell to suspend his California gubernatorial campaign and face a House Ethics Committee review, though he denies all claims. Absent formal indictments to date, standard timelines for evidence collection, witness interviews, and grand jury proceedings make near-term charges improbable within the roughly six-week window, despite prior referrals like mortgage irregularities remaining unresolved without action.